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BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, December 6th by Bob Fierro and Jay Kilgore

lmonaco|Dec 05, 2014

Our Pick last week, Quality Investment, was scratched and therefore rendered our handicapping useless. However, there were three BreezeFigs maiden winners on that card along with four BreezeFigs stakes winners, two at Gulfstream, one each at Aqueduct and Woodbine, plus two others making their fifth and sixth starts (at Gulfstream and Penn) that were not on that card so it pays to keep good records. There were 11 maiden winners during the week at Aqueduct (3), Del Mar, Fair Grounds, Gulfstream, Penn, Parx (2), Turfway and Woodbine. In addition, there were six BreezeFigs exacta-trifectas during the week: at Fair Grounds on the 28th ($31, $115) and Parx the same day ($29, $94); in two stakes at Gulfstream West on the 29th ($260 & $917, $82 & $498); at Aqueduct on the 30th ($52, $389) as well as at Del Mar ($14, $265 and a $24 quinella). Lots of action on today’s card with some intriguing first-time starters, but we found one that could be profitable, see below. Good luck!

Remember to pay attention to two changes we’ve made over the past several years. First, there have been changes in the CLASS EDGE category (at the bottom of the BreezeFigs card) because one sale was eliminated (OBSFEB) and FTFFEB is now in March (FTFMAR), and that moved OBSMAR into a higher class. Also, in the SALE & HIP column: the “HIP” refers to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse’s breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here: http://www.drf.com/BreezeFigs/Video_Links_BreezeFigs_for_2009_Sales.pdf. Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs “qualified” runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here http://www.drf.com/BreezeFigs/BreezeFigs_&_Stride_Length_Study_Part_I.pdf you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There’s a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download “2006 Sales Study,” or just click right here: http://www1.drf.com/breezefigs/breezefigs_010507.doc.

If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com.

Here’s Saturday’s Pick:
Tampa Bay Downs, 4th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs (Dirt)

The only BreezeFigs filly in this race, Flatter Me Zanja, has some interesting figures in her profile. She was a two-over-Par Group 2 number at OBSAPR with a 23.52 foot stride length, just above average for fillies that day, and was not sold (RNA) for 75k. She came back in OBSJUN and had an even-Par Group 2 profile with an almost identical 23.54 foot SL, which was a third of a foot longer than average that day—and was sold for 33k. Go figure. At 15-to-1 morning line she is definitely worth a gimmick shot and might be OK as a key if the board is inscrutable. Good luck!

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