Keeneland’s fall meet is similar to the spring meet in many ways; after all, it often features the same jockeys, trainers, and horses who we saw in the spring. However, trainer intent can be different in the fall, especially with the Breeders’ Cup happening there this year. Don’t get me wrong, many of the trainer angles we highlighted in the spring will still play in the fall, but other angles can vary greatly between the two meets. DRF Formulator gives you access to all of a trainer’s runners over the past five years, so I encourage you to dive in and find angles of your own, but here are some I think are worth monitoring at this meet. • Bet This: Todd Pletcher juveniles in maiden special weights going long for the first time. Pletcher doesn’t run his 2-year-olds in the spring at Keeneland. It’s simply not a meet that he targets for those horses (see Wesley Ward below). Since 2010, Pletcher has run just two starters at Keeneland in those spring baby races, but he’s had 45 juvenile starters over the past five fall meets. The 2-year-old races in the spring are run at 4 1/2 furlongs, so it’s very easy to factor them out in Formulator; just set the “distance” filter to five furlongs and up. In the fall, Pletcher has done well with juveniles in maiden special weights running a route (one mile or farther) for the first time in their career. He’s 5 for 10 with a $3.88 return on investment over the past five years with those runners, and he went 3 for 3 with them at the meet last fall. • Not That: Wesley Ward juveniles in routes. Ward targets Keeneland like he targets no other race meet. He’s won at a 27 percent rate (80 for 296, $2.49 ROI) there with all runners over the past five years, compared with 21 percent at other tracks. Ward’s reputation is especially strong with 2-year-olds in the spring, when he’s won at a 36 percent rate over the past five years (17 for 47). At the fall meet, though, Ward’s success with 2-year-olds has come almost exclusively in sprints, as he’s only 22-1-4-2 in routes, with just a $0.30 ROI. • Bet This: Rusty Arnold juveniles in maiden special weights not debuting. Arnold is known for giving his horses a race. Over the past five years, he’s had only nine winners from 130 horses making their debut, and he’s 2 for 30 with those at Keeneland, currently riding a 22-race losing streaks with debuts there. With juveniles in maiden special weight races after their debut, however, he’s 24-7-6-3 with a $2.49 ROI over the past five years at Keeneland, with all of those runners coming at the fall meet. • Not That: Christophe Clement in stakes races. Clement has 12 graded stakes wins in 2015, but he hasn’t had much success recently in stakes at Keeneland. Over the past five years, he’s 27-2-4-5 in all stakes there (24-2-4-4 in graded stakes and 3-0-0-1 in non-graded ones), and it’s not as if he’s running out a lot of longshots, as 22 of those 27 runners were single-digit odds. • Not That: Kiaran McLaughlin in graded stakes races. Like Clement, Kiaran McLaughlin has had his share of success in graded stakes races, having won 38 of them over the past five years. None of those wins, however, has come at Keeneland. In that time, he’s 15-0-1-3 in graded stakes there, with nine of those losses coming at odds of 5-1 or lower. • Bet This: Dale Romans in graded stakes races. Romans, on the other hand, has had plenty of recent success in graded stakes at Keeneland, winning just a shade under 20 percent of the starts in the past five years (41-8-3-4). That $4.33 ROI with those runners is eye-catching, and although one could downplay it as being skewed by two big-priced winners – Moonwalk at 36-1 in the 2012 Jessamine and Dullahan at 17-1 in the Breeders’ Futurity in 2011 – the bigger story to me is that his graded stakes horses have had a history of being well meant or even outrunning their odds. All seven of his runners under 5-1 hit the board, and four of those seven non-winners who hit the board were higher than 10-1 in the wagering. • Not That: Chad Brown in dirt races. Keeneland has had a dirt main track for the past two meets, although Chad Brown only sent out runners in dirt races in the spring meet earlier this year. He went winless with seven starters in those races, with one second and two thirds. Not the biggest sample size, sure, but it is worth noting that six of those seven runners were less than 5-1, and four of them were the post-time favorite. If he runs enough horses, he’ll definitely have a dirt winner at this meet; he’s simply too good a trainer for this winless streak to continue. But seeing how heavily these horses get bet, I’d have a hard time singling any of these runners at short prices. These are just a few examples of great bets to target as well as ones to avoid. Every day, at every track, you will find many examples of these kinds of great (or awful) opportunities. DRF Formulator gives you the keys to find these angles, and it could very well lead you to a winner who is overlooked by much of the betting public. Check out the different Formulator plans available, priced for every budget. Better yet, try it for yourself; get two Formulator cards for a penny by using code BETTHIS at checkout.