Steelers at Bills (-6.5) Betting Preview

Published on 09/12/2021
By Scott Gramling
Buffalo quarterback Josh Allen
Expectations are high this season for Josh Allen and the Bills.
Rich Barnes-USA TODAY Sports

Pittsburgh Steelers at Buffalo Bills (-6.5)
Sunday 9/12, 1:00 p.m. ET

Three things you should know before betting on Steelers-Bills:

1. Buffalo has gotten off to strong starts the past couple of years, going 6-1 straight-up and 5-2 against the spread in September games since the start of 2019. The Bills have been particularly strong at home early in recent seasons, going 11-5 against the spread in September home games since the start of 2013. In season-opening games since the start of 2014, the Bills are 5-2 both straight-up and against the spread, with both season-opening losses in that span having come to Baltimore.

2. The Steelers have struggled in this type of spot in recent years, going 1-8 against the spread over their past nine road games against AFC East opponents dating back to the 2013 season. That includes Pittsburgh’s only road game against an AFC East opponent last season, which was a 26-15 loss as an underdog of less than a field goal. Home field figures to provide a more significant advantage this time around, with a raucous full-capacity Buffalo crowd creating an atmosphere much different than the 2020 game without fans in the stands.

3. Five of the past six Steelers-Bills matchups have gone Under the total, with neither team surpassing 27 points in any of the six meetings. The Under is 6-0 in Bills games against AFC North opponents since the start of the 2019 season, with Buffalo having allowed an average of 14.7 points over the six games. The Under is 9-0-1 in Pittsburgh’s non-divisional road games since the start of 2019, with the Steelers scoring an average of fewer than 20 points while failing to surpass 27 in any of the 10 games.

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