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Lions at Packers (-10.5) Betting Preview

3 days ago
By Scott Gramling
Green Bay running back Aaron Jones
Green Bay will be looking to get Aaron Jones going against Detroit.
Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports

Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers (-10.5)
Monday 9/20, 8:15 p.m. ET

Three things you need to know before betting on Lions-Packers:

1. It might come as a bit of a surprise to hear that the Lions are 7-1 against the spread in head-to-head meetings with the Packers since the start of the 2017 season. The teams face each other on Monday night exactly one year after Green Bay’s lone against-the-spread victory during that stretch, which was a 42-21 win as a 7-point home favorite.

2. The Packers were blown out in their season opener, 38-3 by the Saints on a neutral field in Jacksonville. The fact that Green Bay’s offense turned the ball over three times (a fumble and two interceptions) while the team’s defense failed to generate any takeaways had a lot to do with the lopsided result. NFL favorites enter Week 2 with a 14-45-5 record against the spread since the start of the 2017 season when coming off a game with a turnover margin of minus-3 or worse.

3. Green Bay’s 42-21 win over Detroit in Week 2 last season was the only one of the past five meetings between these teams that has gone Over the total. It was also the only time in the past 14 games in the head-to-head series dating back to the start of the 2014 season that one of the teams has surpassed 35 points. There have been 21 NFL games since the start of 2017 in which at least one of the teams is coming off an upset loss by at least 14 points, and all but one of those 21 games has gone Under the total.

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