Colts at Ravens Betting Preview

Published on 10/12/2021
By Scott Gramling
Baltimore wide receiver Hollywood Brown
Baltimore wide receiver Hollywood Brown has been a monster this season.
Mitch Stringer-USA TODAY Sports

Indianapolis Colts at Baltimore Ravens (-7)
Monday 10/11, 8:15 p.m. ET

Three things you need to know before betting on Colts-Ravens:

1. With more than 400 yards of total offense in each of their first four games, the Ravens are one of four NFL teams along with the Cardinals, Chiefs and Cowboys to average at least 420 yards of offense over the first four weeks of the 2021 season. With a defense that’s allowing fewer than 360 yards per game, Baltimore has outgained its opponents by an average of more than 60 yards per game. Since the start of 2017 season, however, NFL home teams that are outgaining opponents by an average of at least 50 yards per game are 18-45-2 against the spread after having averaged at least 400 yards of offense over their previous three games.

2. The Ravens are 1-8 against the spread at home under head coach Jim Harbaugh after having averaged 400 or more yards of offense over their previous three games and they’re 1-6 both straight-up and against the spread under Harbaugh when coming off back-to-back road wins. The Colts, meanwhile, are 11-3-2 against the spread on the road under head coach Frank Reich when facing an opponent that’s averaging at least 350 total yards per game, and they’re 10-2-1 ATS on the road under Reich against teams that average at least 7 yards per pass attempt.

3. The Colts are 1-5 straight-up and 0-6 against the spread when facing AFC North opponents since the start of the 2018 season. That includes a 24-10 loss to Baltimore as a 1-point home underdog when the teams met with identical 5-2 records last November. Indianapolis led 10-7 at halftime before being outscored 17-0, including 10-0 in the fourth quarter.

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