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Bills at Saints Betting Preview

Published on 11/25/2021
By Scott Gramling
Saints head coach Sean Payton
Saints head coach Sean Payton is one of the brightest coaches in football.
Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports
11/25 8:20 PM ET
Spread
ML
Score
109
BUF
BUF
-7
-280
31
110
NO
NO
44.5
230
6

Three things you should know before betting on Bills-Saints:

1. The Saints have thrived when getting points in recent years, going 11-3 straight-up and 12-2 against the spread as an underdog since the start of the 2018 season. Three of those games have been played in New Orleans: 1) a 45-35 victory as a 2.5-point underdog against the Rams in November 2018, 2) a 12-10 win as a 2.5-point underdog against the Cowboys in September 2019 and 3) a 36-27 upset as a 3.5-point underdog against the Buccaneers this past Halloween.

2. This has tended to be the time of year that New Orleans has stepped up its play in recent seasons, as the Saints are 17-8 straight-up and 16-9 against the spread in November games since the start of the 2016 season. That includes records of 9-2 straight-up and 7-4 against the spread over their past 11 November home games.

3. The Bills enter Week 12 as one of only three NFL teams along with Dallas and Tampa Bay that’s scoring an average of more than 29 points per game this season. The Saints are 24-9 straight-up and 25-8 against the spread under head coach Sean Payton when facing a team that’s averaging 27 or more points per game, and they’re outsourcing such high-scoring opponents by an average margin of 8.4 points over those 33 games. That includes records of 15-6 straight-up and 16-5 against the spread in home games against such opponents, with New Orleans outscoring opponents by an average of 9 points over those 21 games.

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