NL Championship Series Betting Preview - Dodgers vs. Braves

Published on 10/16/2021
By Scott Gramling
Dodgers star Max Scherzer
Dodgers star Max Scherzer came up big to close out the NLDS.
Neville E. Guard-USA TODAY Sports

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves
Best-of-seven National League Championship Series starts in Atlanta on Saturday, 10/16, at 8:07 p.m. ET

Series Odds:
Los Angeles -220
Atlanta +185

The National League East champion Braves have home-field advantage over the Dodgers, who advanced to the National League Championship Series after a 3-1 victory over the Cardinals in the Wild Card game before eliminating the Giants in five games in one of the NL Divisional Series. The Braves beat the Brewers in four games in the other NL Divisional Series. This marks that a team without home-field advantage has been this big a favorite in a National League Championship Series since 1986, which is when the favored Mets beat the Astros in six games in a series that’s remembered as one of the most exciting and dramatic in postseason history.

Only the Giants, Blue Jays and Braves exhibited more power in 2021 than the Dodgers, who finished fourth among MLB teams with 237 home runs during the regular season. It’s the type of team against which the Braves have struggled this season, as Atlanta is 13-22 at home since the start of 2021 when facing an opponent that hits an average of 1.25 or more homers per game—the Braves have been outscored by an average final of 5.0 to 4.1 over those 35 games.

After being shut out 4-0 by the Giants in Game 1 of the NLDS, the Dodgers won three of the next four games, outscoring San Francisco by a combined score of 18-6 over the four games—the Giants scored a run or two in all four games. Since the start of the 2021 season, Los Angeles is 22-5 when coming off back-to-back games in which the team allowed two runs or fewer, outscoring opponents by an average final of 4.9 to 2.9 over those 27 games.

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