Michigan at Wisconsin Betting Preview

Published on 09/30/2021
By Zachary Cohen
Wisconsin RB Chez Mellusi
RB Chez Mellusi is one of the few bright spots for the Wisconsin offense.
Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

Michigan Wolverines at Wisconsin Badgers (-1.5) 
Saturday, 10/2, 12:00 p.m. ET 

Three things you need to know before betting on Michigan-Wisconsin: 

1. Michigan is 0-5 both straight-up and against the spread in its last five trips to Madison, and that losing streak includes losses by more than 13 points in each of the past four visits — with the average margin of victory in those games being 18 points per game. When these teams met last season, the Badgers won 49-11 as a 7-point road underdog. Michigan rushed for just 47 yards in that game, and the Badgers have a dominant rushing defense once again. However, Wisconsin does have a major question mark at quarterback. 

2. Under head coach Paul Chryst, Wisconsin is 7-2 straight-up and 6-3 against the spread in games with a line of +3 to -3. The Badgers are also 11-3 straight-up and 10-4 against the spread when coming off a game in which the team committed three or more turnovers. Also, under head coach Jim Harbaugh, Michigan is 0-6 straight-up and 2-4 against the spread when playing as a road underdog. The Wolverines are also winless in 11 games as underdogs under Harbaugh overall. 

3. The Under is 7-0 when Wisconsin is allowing 250 or less total yards per game in its previous three games since the start of 2019. Now, the Badgers take the field with a group that is averaging only 19.0 points per game. This Wisconsin team also happens to be allowing the second-least yards per game in all of college football this season, as the Badgers' 212.3 yards per game allowed ranks behind only the Georgia Bulldogs. 

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