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Alabama (-15) vs. Florida Betting Preview

Published on 09/17/2021
By Zachary Cohen
Alabama quarterback Bryce Young
Alabama QB Bryce Young looks like the next star for the Crimson Tide
Marvin Gentry-USA TODAY Sports

Alabama Crimson Tide (-16.5) at Florida Gators
Saturday 9/18, 3:30 p.m. ET

Three things you need to know before betting on Alabama-Florida:

1. The last time the Gators earned a victory over the Crimson Tide was back in 2008, when Tim Tebow was still the quarterback for Florida. Since then, it’s been seven wins in a row for Nick Saban’s team, with six of those games ending with Alabama covering the spread — and the other one ending in a push. The last three meetings between these teams were all SEC Championship Games (2020, 2016, 2015). With the last one having taken place in December 2020; these teams should be familiar with one another.

2. Since the start of 2019, home underdogs of between 10.5 and 21 points are 2-17 against the spread when coming off a game in which they scored 37 or more points. Meanwhile, the Crimson Tide are 27-0 straight-up and 19-8 against the spread in the 27 games they have played as road favorites of 14.5 or more points under Saban. On top of that, Florida has looked unspectacular through two games this season, as the team failed to cover in wins over the Florida Atlantic Owls and South Florida Bulls.

3. Each of the last five meetings between these teams have gone Over the total, with the last two games seeing the two score a total of 168 points. Saban has really opened up the Alabama offense over the years, allowing his offensive coordinators to get clever with the use of the program’s high-caliber talent. Meanwhile, Dan Mullen is an unbelievable play caller, so the Gators are another impressive offense. In the 27 games Alabama has played as a road favorite of 14.5 or more, the Over has hit 19 times.

 

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