Analysis (by Steve Grabowski)

Strengths: The colt silenced his critics, proving in the Kentucky Derby that inexperience and lack of a true route pedigree were not to be a factor in his Triple Crown bid. He’s already overcome a wide trip from a difficult post and his versatility will allow him to adapt to any pace scenario thrown his way. He owns a Beyer Speed Figure edge over all of his Preakness Stakes rivals, and his athleticism should make the transition to Pimlico’s tighter turns seem quite effortless. He’s only likely to get better, and he’s facing a field that on paper appears to be overmatched. His trainer, Richard Dutrow Jr., is one of the best conditioners in the game.

Weaknesses: After four well-spaced starts he’ll be returning in just two weeks and most of his rivals have had more time since their last outing. Although he gives little recent indication of any flare up, it’s no secret he has had foot issues that limited him to a handful of starts in his career. Preakness favorites sent off at less than even money have won just once in six attempts over the last 29 years.

Strategy: He’s versatile enough to take the lead or rate, and should be able to adjust to any situation that arises. He’ll be positioned near the top early and once jockey Kent Desormeaux asks him for run he’ll probably prove too touch for his rivals to handle.

Value: He doesn’t figure to offer any value in the win pool, and will surely be sent off as the odds-on choice. Value seekers may be best off looking for big-priced runners to fill out the exotics slots underneath this heavy favorite.