Daily Racing Form - Kentucky Derby - Contenders

ST AVERIL

Graded Stakes Earnings: $215,200

EQUI-PHOTO

Breeding: Saint Ballado - Avie's Fancy (Lord Avie)
Breeder: Gunsmith Stables
State: Kentucky
Owner: Stan E. Fulton
Trainer: Rafael Becerra
Jockey: Tyler Baze
2004 Record: 3 1-1-0 $140,000
Career Record: 5 2-2-0 $238,000
3-year-old wins: Santa Catalina-G2 (Santa Anita).
2-year-old wins: MSW (Santa Anita).
Best Beyer: 102
Most Recent Races: 4/3 - 6th in Santa Anita Derby-G1 (Santa Anita); 3/14 - 2nd in San Felipe-G2 (Santa Anita); 1/17 - 1st in Santa Catalina-G2 (Santa Anita).
Next Race: 5/1 - Kentucky Derby-G1 (Churchill Downs).
Dosage Profile: 6-3-11-2-2
Dosage Index: 1.53
Center of Distribution: 0.38
$500,000 yearling

The Skinny
Will the real St Averil please stand up? Is this the same colt that earned triple-digit Beyer Speed Figures in his first two starts this year? Or, is he the horse that flopped badly as the favorite in the Santa Anita Derby? Raced very wide going into the first turn last time out, but was a beaten horse after six furlongs. Perhaps he “bounced” after his game runner-up effort in the San Felipe two starts back, and he has been working swiftly at Santa Anita since the recent debacle. Connections originally weren’t 100% committed to this race after the Santa Anita Derby flop, but you know that he can run fast, and he does have decent tactical speed. Would be worth a look at a decent price, but it’s hard to get that poor last race out of my mind.

- Dan Illman

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