Daily Racing Form - Kentucky Derby - Contenders

PRO PRADO

Graded Stakes Earnings: $105,685

Horsephotos

Breeding: El Prado - Mama's Pro (Proper Reality)
Breeder: Mrs. James Winn
State: Kentucky
Owner: Mrs. James Winn
Trainer: Robert Holthus
Jockey: J. McKee
2004 Record: 4 1-0-3 $160,000
Career Record: 7 3-0-3 $213,784
3-year-old wins: Mountain Valley-$50k (Oaklawn).
2-year-old wins: AllowNw2l (Keeneland); MSW (Turfway).
Best Beyer: 102
Most Recent Races: 4/10 - 3rd in Arkansas Derby-G2 (Oaklawn); 3/20 - 3rd in Rebel-$200k (Oaklawn); 2/28 - 3rd in Southwest-$100k (Oaklawn).
Next Race: 5/1 - Kentucky Derby-G1 (Churchill Downs).
Dosage Profile: 6-6-14-4-0
Dosage Index: 1.73
Center of Distribution: 0.47
Homebred

The Skinny
Don't underestimate this runner. Although no match for The Cliff’s Edge or Smarty Jones thus far, he has quietly improved his Beyer Speed Figures in recent races, and always seems to be hanging around in the stretch. Defeated Pollard’s Vision last year at Keeneland, and has never finished worse than fourth in his career. Holthus barn is winning at a 23% clip this year, and his charge may get enough pace to adequately setup his late kick. Tomlinson Distance Rating projects that this trip may be pushing it, but Pro Prado figures to be ignored at the windows, and is certainly worth an action play. Needs to put a bit more oomph into his late rally, but he has a puncher’s chance.

- Dan Illman

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