Analysis (by Kenny Peck)

Strengths: He comes off his best race yet, and it's likely no coincidence that it was a race at today's 1 1/2 mile distance, which is why he's here. That race was on the turf but he did run second in his career debut on the main track.

Weaknesses: Where to start? He's a maiden in a Classic race, and his only main-track starts going two turns resulted in Beyer Speed Figures of 46 and 71, well, well below what he would need here to even earn a check. His best career race came on the turf, in his latest, and while he may have a future on that surface he hasn't proven himself on dirt, even against maiden company. His lack of early speed means he'll need to pass nearly all of them in the stretch, something that seems utterly ridiculous on the surface and absolutely impossible given the lack of speed in the Belmont.

Strategy: Given his running style, he'll likely take back well off the pace and try to pick up a couple of horses late. He'll need a quick, contested pace up front to pass a few late, but he would need something unforeseen to happen in order to make any kind of impact in the race.

Value: A maiden who has run his best race on the turf, now trying to compete in a Grade 1, Triple Crown race, he'll be a very long price but he still is probably not worth using in exotics, as he'd need to move way up to hit the board.