Kentucky Derby Top 20
- Kentucky Derby: Orb has McGaughey at brink of crowning achievement [26]
- 2013 Kentucky Derby Field, Odds [1]
- Kentucky Derby: Verrazano tries to buck history [27]
- Kentucky Derby: Pitino hopes run continues with Goldencents [28]
- Andrew Beyer: Why does Midas touch desert Pletcher on Kentucky Derby Day? [29]
Field for the 2013 Kentucky Derby [30]. Horses listed in order of Watchmaker odds.
| Post # | Horse / Sire | Track Odds | Watchmaker Odds | Best Beyer | Owner, Trainer, and Jockey | Jay Privman and Mike Watchmaker Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 |
Orb [16] by Malibu Moon [31] |
7-2 | 5-1 | 97 |
Stuart Janney 3rd & Phipps St. C. McGaughey/J. Rosario |
Jay Privman: Improving with each start, and believe Hall of Fame trainer has him set for career-best. My pick. Mike Watchmaker: Picked him in his last two and I am not going to get off him now. Jay, please, leave him alone. |
| 14 |
Verrazano [14] by More Than Ready [32] |
4-1 | 6-1 | 105 |
Let's Go Stable, Magnier, Tabor T. Pletcher/J. Velazquez |
JP: Hasn't done a thing wrong in any race yet, but have gut feeling 10 furlongs will be a mite too far. MW: Every wise guy in America wants to beat him, which makes him more dangerous; a real runner. |
| 8 |
Goldencents [8] by Into Mischief [33] |
5-1 | 8-1 | 105 |
W. C. Racing, et al D. O'Neill/K. Krigger |
JP: Loved SA Dby win, and expect relatively moderate pace, which helps. O'Neill with repeat chance. MW: Had a relaxed early trip last time. An identical trip under these conditions is asking for a lot. |
| 3 |
Revolutionary [3] by War Pass [34] |
10-1 | 8-1 | 102 |
WinStar Farm T. Pletcher/C. Borel |
JP: Four for Calvin? It could happen. Has won 3 in a row, overcame wide trip at FG, training super. MW: Certainly capable of victory, but has not faced horses remotely this good during his win streak. |
| 5 |
Normandy Invasion [5] by Tapit [35] |
12-1 | 8-1 | 99 |
Fox Hill Farms C. Brown/J. Castellano |
JP: Third start off layoff should have him primed for best, Castellano chose him over Revolutionary. MW: Rallying second into slow pace in the Wood was a fine effort. Best races so far all at Aqueduct. |
| 12 |
Itsmyluckyday [12] by Lawyer Ron |
15-1 | 12-1 | 104 |
Trilogy Stable & Laurie Plesa E. Plesa Jr./E. Trujillo |
JP: Second to Orb in Florida Derby, so if I like Orb - which I do - I have to give this guy respect. MW: Was coming off planned two-month break in Fl. Derby, so he can certainly improve; intriguing. |
| 19 |
Java's War [19] by War Pass [34] |
15-1 | 96 |
Charles Fipke K. McPeek/J. Leparoux |
JP: Was big fan after Tampa return, Blue Grass win, but final work over track was poor, can't endorse. MW: My concern is he breaks slow, and he's not so good that he can spot this field a head start. |
|
| 9 |
Overanalyze [9] by Dixie Union [36] |
15-1 | 15-1 | 99 |
Repole Stable T. Pletcher/R. Bejarano |
JP: Believe he beat a very ordinary bunch at OP, so he'll have to improve significantly to be a player. MW: Beyer was mediocre, too. His Remsen win over Normandy Invasion is feeling a little flukey now. |
| 20 |
Vyjack [20] by Into Mischief [33] |
15-1 | 15-1 | 96s |
Pick Six Racing R. Rodriguez/G. Gomez |
JP: Think he does best when allowed to sit back, make one run. Was too close to pace in the Wood. MW: He's a nice, hard-trying horse, but I'm not sure that going 10 furlongs is really what he wants.. |
| 17 |
Will Take Charge [17] by Unbridled's Song [37] |
20-1 | 20-1 | 95 |
Willis Horton D.W. Lukas/J. Court |
JP: Hasn't run since 3/16, which I'm not crazy about, and in trouble if it rains. Worst race on off track. MW: Even if he was already in on points, I don't like the skipping the final prep thing, either. Pass. |
| 6 |
Mylute [6] by Midnight Lute [38] |
15-1 | 20-1 | 93 |
Gold Mark and Whisper Hill Farms T. Amoss/R. Napravnik |
JP: Gave Revolutionary all he could handle in La. Derby, but think he might be a cut below the best. MW: Well, if he's a cut below, what does it say about Revolutionary? A likely underlay with Rosie. |
| 4 |
Golden Soul [4] by Perfect Soul [39] |
50-1 | 30-1 | 89 |
Charles Fipke D. Stewart/R. Albarado |
JP: Should be running late, may pass enough tired rivals to get into the bottom of the gimmicks. MW: His fourth in the La. Derby was as much a function of rivals having big trouble than anything. |
| 10 |
Palace Malice [10] by Curlin [40] |
20-1 | 30-1 | 93 |
Dogwood Stable T. Pletcher/M. Smith |
JP: Like addition of blinkers since the speed he had in sprints has been absent in recent route races. MW: Just has not yet become as good as many thought he would be; no excuse in the Blue Grass. |
| 15 |
Charming Kitten [15] by Kitten's Joy [41] |
20-1 | 30-1 | 88 |
Ken & Sarah Ramsey T. Pletcher/E. Prado |
JP: All races on turf or synthetic. While dirt work last weekend wasn't bad, it wasn't great, either. MW: Would have to have been a secret freak on dirt all this time, and that just doesn't seem likely. |
| 18 |
Frac Daddy [18] by Scat Daddy [42] |
50-1 | 30-1 | 91 |
Magic City Thd Partners K. McPeek/V. Lebron |
JP: Don't think he's good enough, but will use underneath since he worked well, and best races at CD. MW: Was a soundly beaten second in an underwhelming Arkansas Derby. Seriously up against it. |
| 11 |
Lines of Battle [11] by War Front [43] |
30-1 | 30-1 | 74t |
Allen, Magnier, Tabor, et al A. O'Brien/R. Moore |
JP: All prior races on turf and synthetic, so it's a guess as to how he'll do, but taking negative view. MW: Maybe someday some horse will win this off a Dubai prep. Until then, I will be betting against. |
| 2 |
Oxbow [2] by Awesome Again [44] |
30-1 | 30-1 | 95 |
Calumet Farm D.W. Lukas/G. Stevens |
JP: After several good tries, Ark. Dby was step back. Great story with Stevens, but last left me cold. MW: He must raise his game significantly to compete here, but he looks to be going the wrong way. |
| 1 |
Black Onyx [45] by Rock Hard Ten [46] |
50-1 | 50-1 | 90 |
Sterling Racing K. Breen/J. Bravo |
JP: My longshot to get into exotics based on deceptively good final work over surface last weekend. MW: Has to hope he catches the same Spiral-Derby lightning as Animal Kingdom did. Not for me. |
| 13 |
Falling Sky [13] by Lion Heart [47] |
50-1 | 50-1 | 92 |
Newtown Anner Stud, et al J. Terranova 2nd/L. Saez |
JP: Expected pace scenario should help him, but has yet to prove he can handle the best of this field. MW: His wheelhouse looks to be Gr. 3, 8.5 furlong races, not 10 furlong Gr. 1 classics such as this. |
| 7 |
Giant Finish [7] by Frost Giant [48] |
50-1 | 50-1 | 86 |
Sunrise Stables, et al A. Dutrow/J. Espinoza |
JP: Trainer initially was not going to come to saddle him, which tells you how excited he is about this. MW: It was this or an allowance race at Belmont. Little difference between the two, in bizzarro world. |
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Fear The Kitten [49] by Kitten's Joy [41] |
50-1 | 84 |
Frank Irvin M. Maker/A. Garcia |
JP: Don't think this horse is close to good enough, but Maker has been a miracle worker this spring. MW: Maker is great, but the only way this horse can win is if they let him cut through the infield. |
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(s) Top Beyer earned in sprint; (t) Top Beyer earned on turf; (RPR) Racing Post Rating |
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