02/26/2015 5:48PM

Yonkers: Saturday 2/28 Analysis


MEET STATS: 52 - 154 / $256.30  BEST BETS: 7 - 13 / $25.60

Best Bet: LORENZO DREAM (11th)

Spot Play: KIWI IDEAL N (10th)


Race 1

(1) SIR MELO'S Z TAM is not a prolific winner but he's hit the board in his four starts since joining the Rohr barn and he should work out a live trip from this spot. (4) GAMBLER'S TALE returns locally, was Sears' choice and should be forwardly placed early. (6) GD AIRLINER ships from Woodbine where he's been knocking heads with some good ones.

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Race 2

(2) SPINARAMA takes a needed drop in class, gets post relief and faces a generally camera-shy group. (6) LAST DRAGON has raced well in three of four for Laterza. (4) CAVIART KEY can save ground and offer a late kick.

Race 3

(2) SAFE HARBOR saved ground and went evenly last week in a needed start off the layoff; veteran should be ready to fire tonight. (1) DELCO ROCKNROLL debuts for another new barn, draws best and will be prominent throughout. (6) ATOCHIA makes his second start off a very long layoff and he was the Levy winner a few seasons ago.

Race 4

(4) TOWNSLIGHT HANOVER was the favorite in NW18000 last out and and couldn't reach chasing slow fractions. This race is really a glorified NW12000 and if by some miracle they don't crawl to the half this gelding can charge home. (1) OUR DRAGON KING always gives a good accounting of himself and he draws best here. (3) ORILLIA JOE was a game winner last week from the outside post and clearly he's capable of repeating.

Race 5

(6) HANG TEN looked to be in good spots the last two weeks but they cancelled; this looks to be a tougher task tonight but the price should be right. (1) SOURCE OF PRIDE finally lands a good post and he'll be much more involved. (2) ROCK TO GLORY is tough to endorse on top but he's got a chance to save ground and hit the ticket.

Race 6

(6) TAKE IT BACK TERRY has been razor sharp but keeps having bad racing luck; stay on board because one of these weeks he'll get there. (4) MICHAEL'S POWER couldn't last the duration last out after cutting the mile from the eight hole; leading driver Dube should be firing with him again. (1) DAPPER DUDE wasn't bad in his local debut and he should get a smoother trip from the rail.

Race 7

(8) NOT AFRAID was tons the best last Sunday in the added-distance event and judging by that effort he's impossible not to endorse here. (4) BACKSTREET HANOVER missed time but finished willingly last out and he can build off that effort. (6) AWSOME VALLEY was stuck in the second tier last week; tonight with nose on gate he can be more prominent.

Race 8

(3) HOLDINGALLTHECARDS bumps up to face tougher but the DiDomenico trainee may be sharp enough to get the job done. (4) WARRAWEE NEEDY will likely be firing and going fast but the big question is always will he last the duration? (1) ODYSSEUS BLUECHIP has done everything right since joining the Lachance barn.

Race 9

(1) STOLEN CAR doesn't seem to win as often as he should but his current form is tough to dismiss. (4) VALIDIUS DEO gets some post relief off two no-chance tries. (6) THAT'LL BE THE REI flashed speed against lesser upon arrival and raced decently; Harmon trainee should be a big price here and can be considered underneath.

Race 10

(3) KIWI IDEAL N is up a notch in class off two stellar efforts in defeat and the Cassar trainee faces no standouts. (6) MICKEY HANOVER backed up from the pocket with no excuse last out versus Open types; clearly he's better than that. (2) STONEHOUSE ADAM will be right up close to the pace and he's got a shot based on that angle.

Race 11

(2) LORENZO DREAM raced very well off the bench to be second best to Not Afraid in the Open. Tonight he drops, lands a good post and looks extremely logical here. (5) HERE COMES NUMBERS bumps up off an easy win and he'll be leaving the gate. (3) STRUCK BY LINDY has raced well in her two local appearances.

Race 12

(4) CASIMIR JITTERBUG rarely puts in a bad effort and he should be close enough to strike in the finale. (8) P H SUPERCAM has come back sharp in 2015 and he's shown solid speed in his last two, possibly enough to overcome the eight hole. (5) HEEZ ORL BLACK N has quickly proven for Vallee that he belongs with these.

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