10/03/2014 1:20AM

Yonkers: Saturday 10/4 Analysis


MEET STATS: 298 - 864 / $1515.30  BEST BETS: 52 - 71 / $168.60

Best Bet: FAT MANS ALLEY (8th)

Spot Play: DIGITAL Z TAM (11th)


Race 1

(2) ESPEN DE VIE didn't fire last week but that was probably against better than he's facing here; big threat from the inside post. (1) PONTIAC LUCK is up in class off a trip-sitting win but he will be competitive from this spot. (4) BIG JER drops and gets needed post relief.

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Race 2

(1) NOB HILL HIGH couldn't reach the well rated winner last week from a stalking trip; classy millionaire will likely be in a similar position tonight but maybe he gets there. (2) ARACACHE HANOVER was outbattled last week by a sharp rival. (4) SON OF FERGIE A should be moving well in the late stages.

Race 3

(1) ROCK ON MOE drops, land inside and appears to be in a winning spot. (2) MONTREAL PHIL also moves back inside and the Lachance trainee is always a threat from spots such as this. (3) MR HASANI N looks like the third best horse in here from the third best post; veteran should be at least third best here.

Race 4

(1) GLASS PRINCE has hit a rough patch in recent efforts but the major post relief should serve him well tonight. (3) NITESICANTREMEMBER has been in over his head since the claim but he does get some class relief. (4) HIGH OCTANE N should save ground and finish with some sort of late rally.

Race 5

(6) ALL BETS OFF gets the post edge on logical rival (7) MCWICKED and that should make all the difference in this 3YO Open. The latter is considered one of the top three-year-olds around but I wonder how hard he'll be used from this spot. (3) SOME PLAYA seems to look best of the rest.

Race 6

(7) EASY AGAIN returns to Yonkers where he had plenty of success earlier in the year; 7 post presents a problem but I think the Burke trainee is talented enough to overcome the handicap. (4) DREAM OUT LOUD N changed tactics and rallied stoutly last out. (5) CASIMIR JITTERBUG was a winner two back from this post.

Race 7

(3) MCERLEAN is razor-sharp right now and he can get the job done from this spot. (5) LUCAN HANOVER returns from a failed effort in Quebec and his last three local efforts were stellar. (1) AMERICAN VENTURE has really turned it all around in his last two.

Race 8

(1) FAT MANS ALLEY tried to leave last week and got hung to dry; it should be a different story tonight from the rail. (2) DOCTOR BUTCH returns locally after being overmatched in his last few and he should be second best here to complete chalky number. (3) IDEAL CHAMP gets some needed class relief after chasing Open types last week.

Race 9

(1) MALAK USWAAD N has just one win on the season but it did come here in the Open a few starts back; Carlson should be able to work out a perfect trip from this spot. (4) MYSTICIAN is up in class again looking for four straight since arriving from Canada; obviously his connections made the right choice shipping him down here. (7) TYBER TYKE was solid upon arrival but I wonder if the outside post does him in tonight.

Race 10

(2) GARNET RIVER A is clearly very sharp and he had zero chance last week from the eight hole; import deserves serious consideration from this spot. (1) MOVEOUTOFMYWAY has been solid in his last three for the Robertson barn. (3) DIAMOND COWBOY usually races as well as he draws, which should put him in line for a board spot.

Race 11

(4) DIGITAL Z TAM has raced well for weeks now without a victory to show for it; veteran is way overdue. (2) SANTANNA ONE is capable but needs some racing luck. (1) SAMANDAR has quietly worked his way back up the class ladder and he should land a share from this spot.

Race 12

(1) BJ'S GUY is up in class after blowing away a cheap field; gelding has proven in the past that he can handle this type. (4) EZ NOAH had no chance last week from the eight hole in his debut for the Buter barn. (5) SMOOTH CRIMINAL is good but he also has some good ones inside of him.

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