10/09/2014 8:37PM

Yonkers: Saturday 10/11 Analysis

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MEET STATS: 25 - 72 / $129.40   BEST BETS: 4 - 6 / $15.30

Best Bet: BIGTOWN HERO (6th)

Spot Play: LUCK BE WITHYOU (5th)

 

Race 1

(5) DR CS Z TAM drops down the condition ladder. Gelding could actually win on Saturday and get another free ride at this level next week. (3) DULL ROAR was a solid second in this class last time. The inside post should perk him back up. (4) GRAB YOUR KEYS is clearly sharp and should be able to handle this tougher group.

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Race 2

(1) GOOD DAY MATE ships in for a top barn in fine form and draws best. (4) MICKEY HANOVER has won six of eight starts here over the last three years; very playable. (2) GLASS PRINCE should get away close. He has won more than 30% of his starts at Yonkers. (3) DOCTOR CARTER has won three of four starts.

Race 3

(3) VILLAGE BEAT has put in some of his best efforts with Jason Bartlett in the bike. Class relief and an inside post can only help him tonight. (1) ONLY THE LONELY has speed and the best post in his corner; good combination. (6) NOB HILL HIGH looks like a toss based on his last effort, but the pace was sizzling and he was used hard to keep up.

Race 4

(5) DUEL IN THE SUN has been known to gun off the gate when in the right spot and head down the road. This looks like that kind of spot. (1) CONKERS CONQUEST was a killer fresh off the fair circuit in Maine. There is no reason to believe he can’t score for the new barn. (4) STATION THREEOHSIX finally gets a good post to work with; worth using. (2) HI HO STEVERINO has some speed; maybe.

Race 5

(7) LUCK BE WITHYOU was on a roll in August before a tough mile in the Cane Pace. This is a quality 3-year-old with high speed. (4) STAY UP LATE gets tested for class but has outdrawn his main rivals. (8) LYONSSOMEWHERE can sprint off the gate. He may even be fast enough to avoid a four-wide trip into the first turn. (3) FORTY FIVE RED has been facing some tough company over the last few months.

Race 6

(8) BIGTOWN HERO took down some of the best pacers in the country by circling most of the field in the Ewart at Scioto. If he is put into play from post eight, he will win. (5) TAKE IT BACK TERRY draws inside his main rivals. Can he get away close enough to take advantage? (7) P H SUPERCAM goes for his third straight Open win.

Race 7

(7) THIRTY TWO RED wired the field the last time he was at this level in an added distance race. He should provide a sweet price in a field without a standout. (1) AMERICAN VENTURE rates as the one to beat for a high percentage barn. (3) EXIT CAM can leave for position and hit the exotics.

Race 8

(1) DOCTOR BUTCH doesn’t sport much in the way of form, but he draws inside and should be sitting a sweet trip. (3) MUSSELSFRMBRUSSELS is the opposite of the top choice, great form with no speed. (6) HILLBILLY HANOVER was racing well when last seen here.

Race 9

(5) OFF LIKA PROMDRESS is pretty much taking a lateral move coming in from Saratoga. Four-year-old has a super record at this oval. (3) MC RUSTY has finished second the last two times at this level. (1) MY TEMUDJIN N has post one and some early speed in his corner.

Race 10

(2) VERDAD & (1) SHORTSTACKED both draw inside this week and either is more than capable of taking advantage. (8) VALENTINO has high speed and could get good position despite the bad draw.

Race 11

(4) RONNY BUGATTI was in deeper waters the last time he ventured south to Yonkers. This guy is capable with a decent trip. (2) ARACACHE HANOVER was awesome last week and will win with a similar effort. (6) RUSSLEY RASCAL N drops down in class and should be involved at some point. (7) SMOOTH CRIMINAL was a good second in this company last week.

Race 12

(3) SOUTHWIND AMAZON had no shot while up in company from post eight in his most recent start. This level might be one step higher on the ladder than he would like, but he seems sharp enough to make some noise. (1) JUSTIFIED should perk up from post one. (2) MACHS BEACH BOY drops and draws better; capable.