11/24/2012 5:04PM

Woodbine: Monday 11/26 Analysis


Best Bet: UNDERCOVER STRIKE (10th)   Spot Play: NOWUCIT NOWUDONT (3rd)

Race 1

(4) NOBLE WARRAWEE is coming off a gate-to-wire victory and that sets himself up well in this series. His speed and record makes him my top pick. (3) JETCREST might be a longshot play for second, but he also shows enough speed and class to be a top threat at this level. (2) THE ONLY ONE continues to get better with each start. He draws a good post and will likely use that to his advantage.

Race 2

(5) LIFE SIGNATURE might offer value in this field and he continues to show steady improvement. He got a good trip last week and I'm looking for similar tactics from post five. (2) MACHS BEACH BOY looks like he races at his best when he's put into play early. That may happen from a post two start for Ouellette. (3) MARINER SEELSTER moves out of the claiming ranks and into this condition event. I'm not sure he can win, but has been quite consistent at hitting the board.

Race 3

(7) NOWUCIT NOWUDONT makes the move onto this circuit after posting four of five wins at Rideau Carleton. Henriksen is a very credible trainer/driver and his horses are always in top form when making the transition. (6) YACKETY YAK likely will offer value, but I'm going to give him a shot. He showed a solid final quarter last week at this oval. (5) IMA MAGICIAN TOO comes off a win and that sets him up well for this series. A similar, second-over trip, like his last start and he's a top threat.

Race 4

This was a tough class to predict, but I selected (3) JUST DOING MY JOB. His 1:51 4/5 time earlier this year is a big reason for my selection. That tells me that he has enough speed to handle this group. (7) GENESEE continues to drop time and is very lightly-raced.  He posted a solid final quarter and is surely a top threat in here.  (2) ROCKNROLL HARMONY likely will offer value, but this is not a deep class of horses. He's got a good post to deal with and I was really impressed with his final quarter last week.

Race 5

(4) R RKADABRA enjoys racing on or near the front. He's been racing very well lately and been very consistent. He'll likely offer low value from an inside post. (3) FALCOR BLUESTONE hasn't won at this level, but his latest time of 1:55 3/5 makes him very attractive. If he repeats that type of effort then he's a top contender. (6) UNABATING is a top threat to hit the board. He raced from off-the-pace and if they go quick fractions, he's the type of horse that can pick them off late.

Race 6

(9) BREES CREEK is fresh off a win in gate-to-wire fashion. He's won four races from eight starts this season and appears to be the horse to beat. (3) GEORGE JETTISON got a great trip last week to finish second with a solid final quarter. The same trip could occur again from an inside post. (2) D GS CAMME has only been defeated once from four career starts. He moves onto this circuit for the first time, but shows terrific gate-speed and I hope that comes into play.

Race 7

(6) CANBEC FRIDOLIN has been very competitive while racing at this level. He enjoys being near the front and that will likely occur again. He's won eight races this season and that can't be overlooked. (4) STRONG HOPE found the winner's circle for first-time trainer O'Sullivan last week. He moves up in class, but I'm confident he can make the transition. (5) SLIP INTO GLIDE hasn't been at his best lately, but he's the richest horse in the field this season. He's won at a higher level and should be competitive in here.

Race 8

(1) SHOPPING WITH ART hasn't found the winner's circle yet in his young career, but he's been very close. He adds lasix for the first time and is the horse to beat. (10) LONG FLIGHT HANOVER scored a convincing win last start in comfortable fashion. He'll have to overcome post 10, but is a 'must have' on your triactor/exactor wagers. (4) THE GOAT has been racing much better in his last two starts. I was impressed with his last effort and he may offer value.

Race 9

(5) COLD CERTIFIED has been racing much better in his last number of starts. The recent addition of lasix appears to have helped. He has enough speed and class to be a top threat at this level. (7) ONE MORE GINNY scored a comfortable victory last start and could certainly do it again. He continues to drop time and will offer low value. Other than last week, (1) CATCH THE DREAM has been racing very well. He's always a threat to be top three at this level and starts from a good post.

Race 10

(6) UNDERCOVER STRIKE looks like the horse to beat at this level. He has been nothing short of spectacular since moving into the O'Sullivan barn. He'll likely be the heavy-favourite and rightfully so. (3) E W FISHER has proven to be a top contender at this level. My only concern is getting away too far back. I hope that doesn't happen again from a post three start. (8) ZEUS LIGHTNING was my spot play in his last start and he rewarded a handsome return. I think he can make the jump in class, but not convinced he's the winner.

Race 11

(7) COLLEGE MAJOR is at a level where he has proven to be very competitive. With the correct trip, he's a major player. He likely will offer low value. (2) PACIFIC WESTERN didn't overly impress me last week and drops in for a claiming price this week. O'Sullivan is classifying this horse accordingly and should be a top contender. He won at this level two starts back. (5) JOSHUA MY BOY is a horse that will likely offer value and I'm looking to capitalize on that. I don't think he can win, but is a good selection for a triactor wager.


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