03/02/2016 12:08PM

Woodbine Harness: Thursday 3/3 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT PICK 5: 5,6,7/1,5,6/8/5,6/4,6,7 = $10.80

EARLY PICK 4: 5,6/4,6,7/1,2,4,8/1,5,10 = $72

LATE PICK 4: 1,5,10/7/1,5,6/1,3,4,6,8 = $45

MEET STATS: 273 - 858 / $1433.20  BEST BETS: 44 - 80 / $156.40

SPOT PLAYS: 19 - 80 / $205.60

Best Bet: MACH POWER (3rd)

Spot Play: CANADIAN WRITER (4th)

Race 1

(5) SANDY DE VIE closed rapidly last time but was too far back to pass them all. Expect a more aggressive steer here. (6) MY RHYTHYM OF RHYME was pressed hard in the third quarter last time which took its toll late. She should be even better here with that seasonal debut out of the way. (7) RADAR TRAP scored at a big price last time off a good trip and can contend here again.

Race 2

(1) DOMITIAN HALL should be formidable on the front end dropping back into a claimer here. Vanderkemp likely learned some things last week, too. (5) TOWNLINE MAMA was a big winner here last week on a track rated two seconds slow and is the one to fear. (6) LOVE YOU FOREVER drops back into claimers where she was doing well at The Meadows.

Race 3

(8) MACH POWER brings an impressive winning streak into this race and looks much the best again. (2) PRINCESS DIAMOND was closing rapidly against a seasoned winner last time and should make the ticket again here. (7) EXPERT BAYAMA rode a good trip behind soft fractions to his debut win but will likely find the choice too tough in here.

Race 4

(5) CANADIAN WRITER was taken by Moreau when winning his third in a row out of town and should be tough in here. (6) GOOD MORNING MISTER has shown flashes of speed in his last two and should find this company more to his liking; using. (1) H P BLACK SHADOW always looks good on paper but is 1 for 34 lifetime. A minor award is probably his ceiling here.

Race 5

(7) FLAHERTY was chased down late by a good debut winner last week. He looks like a top contender here. (6) ROSE RUN RANGER was closing well at the end of his Woodbine debut and merits serious consideration here. (4) NEW STANDARD has shown talent but is typically closing too late. Back with maidens here, he could get put into this race earlier than he has been to date, which would make him a threat.

Race 6

(4) KABLOOIE was closing well last time but was too far back. Perhaps hot driver McNair will get him moving earlier this time. (1) FUTURE MILLION almost took similar all the way two back and he will likely make a quick move to the front at some point this time. (8) JAC SPADE is an infrequent winner but should be considered here coming off a win vs. similar last week. He still needs a trip to win, however.

Race 7

(10) CROWN CLASSIC is two for the past two starts after losing the first 25. Her excellent early speed makes her a threat here, even from the worst post. (5) MUSCLE TIME has produced good late speed in both starts over this track and is one to include in Pick 4 bets. (1) SOUTHWIND GIZELLE was closing well into a slowing pace last time and should share here, although the top two may be too tough for her.

Race 8

(7) YOURE MY HERO had broken equipment at the start last time which took him out of the race. He gets to drop back to a level where he dominated two back; top call. (1) REGALLY MAGNIFIED showed good speed both early and late last time and should get a good trip starting from the inside. (4) STONEHOUSE PETEY had a good trip but was overtaken late last week. He can take a smaller share here.

Race 9

(5) PARTY IN ROME made two moves last time in a sharp effort and should be tough here. (6) SOPHIES SHADOW has upset possibilities if she can grab some cover this time when making her move. (1) SODWANA BAY should be closer here with post relief.

Race 10

(6) LUCKY COCKTAIL has excelled at this level recently and her good tactical speed is a big plus vs. these. (3) LADY SANTANA has gone two long trips in a row starting from outer posts. She stands a much better chance here starting closer to the inside. (8) TWIN B BREEZEWAY has done well for Filion lately and is another in with a chance here. (1) DARKTWISTEDFANTASY has done very well out of town recently now goes for Auciello off the claim; using. (4) WHITEGLANCE comes in off a win but can be erratic at times. She's a tough one to get a good read on typically, but her best race puts her right there vs. this group.

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