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Woodbine Harness: Thursday 3/28 Analysis
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Best Bet (12 - 27 / $40.90): RASHABEC (8th)
Spot Play: RUBIS PRESCOTT (4th)
(8) ON AND ON is fresh off a win and moves onto this circuit. He scored his victory at Flamboro over a good track and is ready to drop even more time. (9) DEVRIES HANOVER did most of the work last start before tiring down the lane and settled for second. He has to overcome post nine, but he put in a very credible effort last week in his first start of the year. (6) LILY PAD HANOVER qualified very well with a :29 4/5 final quarter. She draws in the middle of the gate and appears to be very versatile.
(7) CHARDONAY SEELSTER found the wire first last start in this class and remains a top threat. The addition of Lasix has appeared to help and she gets McNair back in the bike. (8) MACH THIS WAY captured her first win of the season last start and remains at this same level. She'll have to overcome post eight, but this is a short field. (6) FOOLISH MIND overcame post nine last start and was used hard to earn the front. She then got covered up and came through to finish second. That was her first start of 2013 and I expect her to drop more time.
(9) B YOYO wasn't impressive last week, but he's back on a seven-day rotation and I think that will help. He does have three wins from six starts this season and has the gate speed. I'm certainly looking for a rebound effort. (2) MONEY MAVEN got away tenth last start and was full of trot to finish third, beaten by less than a length for the win. He draws the same post as last week and I hope he doesn't get away too far back. (1) BALLYKEEL PEGASUS enters the Moreau barn and that's the major reason for my selection. His qualifying effort was just fair, but he moves onto this circuit, gets Filion and draws inside.
(7) RUBIS PRESCOTT moves into the Macswain barn and he's a very high percentage trainer. This filly has been knocking on the door at this maiden level and I think she's ready to win with Jamieson in the bike. (5) DELICATE TOUCH has posted three qualifiers, but she comes out of the McIntosh barn and that usually means that they're ready at first asking. The qualifiers aren't impressive, so you may get a price. (6) PARADE ROUTE raced very well to finish second in her first start of the season. She can only be better with a cleaner trip.
(8) MUSCLE MAX put together a sharp qualifier considering the track was off two seconds. He has a 2-1-0 record from three starts last season and I think he's the horse to beat. (6) SIMAX hasn't been at his best lately, but does have a decent on-the-board record this season. I'm looking for a better effort. (4) STONEBRIDGE CATCH is a horse that usually provides high odds. He draws well and is capable of being top three providing the right trip.
(7) MANVERS SHORT CUT has been knocking on the door at this level and usually provides a decent price. She'll have to step up her game, but she's capable of doing it after posting 12 victories last season. (2) ST LADS MORGAN is put into a level where she's most competitive. She draws inside, has gate speed and likely will get a lot of attention. (10) EXPRESS JET has won two straight races and moves up in class. She has to overcome the post 10 and is a great option to consider if you're playing the triactor.
(3) HLDOTGHTTOYURDRMS did most of the work last week on the front before getting picked off in deep stretch. He draws inside again, shows gate speed and I hope the same driving tactics will occur again. (2) WINDSONG INVINCIBL was simply too far back last week and had to settle for fourth. She has a good record this season, draws inside and is certainly capable of being top two. (4) JOSEPH GERARD added the trotting hopples and that has appeared to help. If he minds his manners, he may offer a price based in his recent performances.
(1) RASHABEC is the logical choice in here as my top selection. He didn't clear until past the quarter en route to victory. He remains at this same level and comes out of Allard's barn. (4) ROCKNROLL HARMONY will likely be considered a longshot, but he closed very well last start. He got away too far back and used a :28 final frame to finish third with broken equipment. (3) SURPRIZEMEAGAIN draws much better than last week and at this level, he's always a threat. He has tremendous gate speed and that will likely come into play.
(8) LIBBY HALL moves onto this circuit, but comes out of the Henriksen barn and that usually means they're ready to perform at their best. He doesn't draw the best, but has speed and at this level she's very capable. (10) STRAWBERRY WINE doesn't like to win, but is a good option for the exactor and triactor. She has gate speed and has been racing very consistently in her last three outings. (3) LOCO CABALLO is a longshot play, but he closed very well last week to finish fourth. If he's better placed off the start and gets a clean trip, he's capable.
(5) KEEP IT FAIR won in this class last week and comes out of the Johnson barn. She draws well once again and will need the right off-the-pace trip to find the winner's circle. (3) RING AROUND ROSIE has been top three in four of six starts this season and was only beaten by a head for the win last start. She draws inside and is a good option for the exactor. (4) PUFF MOMMY hasn't been at her best lately, but put forth a terrific effort last week. She finished a strong second and draws much better in here at the same level.
(3) JAC SPADE drops in class and that's the main reason for my selection. He also draws much better, enjoys racing from off-the-pace and shouldn't get away too far back from a good post. (6) ROCK OF LUCK moves up in class and onto this circuit, but comes out of the Allard barn. He's been racing consistently and I think he can step up his game. (7) SPIKE HANOVER is a longshot play, but raced very well two starts ago. At this level, I feel he'll need the right trip but can be a part of the triactor.