03/23/2016 10:19AM

Woodbine Harness: Thursday 3/24 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT PICK 5: 1,2,7/4,7/6,7,8/1,8/1,5,7,9,10 = $36

EARLY PICK 4: 1,8/1,5,7,9,10/6,7,8/1,4 = $60

LATE PICK 4: 1,4/7/3,6/1,4,6 = $12

MEET STATS: 308 - 978 / $1607.10  BEST BETS: 50 - 92 / $181.10

SPOT PLAYS: 21 - 91 / $218.80

Best Bet: CASIMIR LOW GEAR (8th)

Spot Play: LOVE U FOREVER (2nd)

Race 1

(7) CLASSIC COMEDY makes her third start for Auciello and second try over Woodbine. I can see Drury blasting with this one early here and give her a lukewarm call. (1) JINGLEWRITER looked like she was coming around a bit in claimers then stepped into a conditioned race where she had no shot. This field is much weaker and she should contend. (2) SANTANNAS GAL has finished 2nd the past two times in this class and merits respect vs. a suspect group.

Race 2

(7) LOVE U FOREVER drops back into a claimer and could be sent right down the road here in a race void of early speed. (4) CROWNINGCREST also drops back into a conditioned claimer and should show more in this small field. (5) GO GET BRUCE was racing great in conditioned claimers at Flamboro before trying tougher here. He can share here.

Race 3

(6) CATCH TWENTY TWO set a wicked pace last time then tired late. He could take this group with an easier trip, which is likely. (8) TO HIS CREDIT is a half to two solid racehorses that have won 17 races between them. He likely has a lot more speed to offer than was shown in his qualifier. (7) SPORTS COLOGNE has raced better for Filion and he returns here. Don't be shocked if he is lurking in the pocket turning home.

Race 4

(1) ORCH VICKY has taken two straight at big odds and stepping up into a non-winners of two she will likely be a square price again. She's worth a play here in her current sharp form. (8) PARTY IN ROME looks like the one to beat, but failed at 1/5 last time and has now missed three weeks. She's no cinch here. (5) MY RHYTHM OF RHYME showed nothing last week, but perhaps getting back to a 7-day rotation she will show more early speed early here and take a share.

Race 5

(5) DERIVATIVE put up some big fractions on the lead last week then was passed late by two that would rate highly in this field. A similar speed mission might work here. (7) BOONDOCK has been racing very well in 3 starts at London this year and his good form should be respected. (1) THE BIG MUSCLE was a strong winner in his seasonal debut. A repeat isn't out of the question, but he will likely need to trot much faster early to keep up with the choice if that one stays flat.

Race 6

(8) ROCKNROLL VISION was a decent 2nd in her seasonal bow, which was her best performance to date. She looks much-improved over last season; slight nod. (7) PONDER THE DREAM was first up in the same dash after missing a month and tired a bit late. She should be all set to produce her best now. (6) DEUCETTE closed quickly in her debut and can threaten here if Henry sends her for position early.

Race 7

(1) ON THE RIDGE hasn't missed the exacta so far in his career and the Kadabra colt doesn't need to improve much to contend. (4) BALLYKEEL BOMBER got a clean line last week and will likely be asked for more here; using. (3) LEROYS DREAM comes off a nice win at Flamboro and tries the big track now.

Race 8

(7) CASIMIR LOW GEAR was claimed for $5 K and stepped up to $10K for this same trainer last spring and won in 1:53 4/5 in that first start for the new connections at Georgian. He gets Filion and is likely a big go here. (2) MARKATHY has raced well in both starts for Stewart. This group is no tougher than the field he beat last week; call to repeat. (5) LIKE A VIRGIN steps up for trainer Weller here who continues to run hot; using.

Race 9

(6) TEA WITH MS MCGILL paced a 26 4/5 third quarter in his March 17 qualifier getting ready for this seasonal bow. He looks ready to roll. (3) CANADIAN WRITER continues to race well and looks like the main danger to the choice. Expect this gelding to be more forwardly placed tonight. (2) BIG PETES STYLE will likely stick around for a share here.

Race 10

(1) HP BLACK SHADOW gets major post relief in his second start for Johnson and gets a slight nod in a tough dash to end the late Pick 4. (4) HIGH RESOLUTION has been racing okay at London and now debuts for Montini. He should drop a few seconds here on the bigger track. (6) LITTLE TURK fits in this conditioned claimer and should get some pace to chase. (5) GOODMORNINGMISTER will be passing many of these down the lane and is a good one to use in the exotics. (3) SPEED RACER will likely be on top early and can stick around for a piece.

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