03/18/2015 9:52AM

Woodbine Harness: Thursday 3/19 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


3/3,4/2,3,6/2,5,7 = $18

MEET STATS: 106 - 311 / $573.40  BEST BETS: 14 - 30 / $82.30 

SPOT PLAYS: 6 - 29 / $59.20

Best Bet: LARJON LAURA (4th)

Spot Play: INTENDED STYLE (9th)

Race 1

(5) BLACK QUEEN is out of a dam that has produced 5 winners from all 5 foals she has thrown, all having gone in 1:55 or quicker. She could pop here first out at a square price. (1) OOH SHESA BADLANDS improved her late speed in her second start but failed to get close to the winner despite being heavily-favored. She will likely be heard from earlier tonight. (6) ROSE PETAL has already won in a similar class down south and just failed in NW2 last out at Yonkers. She figures highly.

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Race 2

(5) TWIGGYS TWICK trotted her best mile of the year last time and is now re-classified by leading trainer Moreau in search of her first win of the year; logical and top call.  (3) UTOPIA was making a big move and looked like he was on his way to victory when he miscued last week. He should be a good price here and could get the job done if he stays flat. (6) BLUSH AND CRUSH showed continuing improvement when just missing in this class and is a threat here.

Race 3

(8) HURRICANE HAZEL was called to win first out but was a carefully-driven third. She did have late speed to offer and this is a very beatable field if she is a 'go' tonight; top billing. (4) ARRAKIS had one failed try as a 2YO last year, but his qualifier on March 12 was encouraging. His dam has thrown 5 winners in 1:57 or better of 7 that raced; using. (2) MUIRS SON will get there one of these times but he is starting to be known more for encountering trouble in races than anything else.

Race 4

(3) LARJON LAURA went a big trip last week to be second behind a mare that has only lost once all year. This field should be well within her range; Best Bet. (5) SMILE CAM was well behind the choice but did pass seven rivals in the final 1/4. She can be closer here. (4) NINE DAYS showed good improvement at Flamboro last out and could get a piece of this at a nice price.

Race 5

(3) OHO DIAMOND produced his second big effort in a row but could not chase down a streaking winner. These are easier and Zeron should have this one in striking range earlier. (4) SOUTHWIND ALICE won comfortably first off the Dowling claim and is not to be taken lightly in this spot. (8) JAYPORT ALL MUSCLE wasn't far behind the choice but needs a better start to contend for the win, which may be unlikely from out there.

Race 6

(6) BIG TURN ON has shown good improvement at long odds the past two starts and now debuts out of the Brealey barn after being claimed. Top call at a much shorter price than he has been the past month. (2) CANADIAN EDITION returns to the Puddy barn and the claiming ranks; a top threat here. (3) ELECTRIFY is much better than his last two lines indicate and should be closing for a share here.

Race 7

(5) EXTRACURRICULAR went first up trying to challenge a winner that was taking a big edge last week. He can go much better here and perhaps clear somewhere on the backside then turn on the jets; top call. (2) DREAMFAIR BOGART has changed barns since his last start and some immediate improvement would be no shock. (7) DIVINATION ships up from down south following a break and looks ready for a good showing based on her March 10 qualifier.

Race 8

(7) TWIN B SWEETHEART drew two 10-holes in a row to start her career and performed well, considering. Expect McNair to gun early here and give this field the slip. (2) WARAWEE QUALLY continues to be the best show bet on the grounds; win . . . not so much. (3) TWIN B BREEZEAWAAY keeps showing improvement and is worth pick 4 consideration.

Race 9

(1) INTENDED STYLE had two tough trips vs. the very hot Smokeys Luck and now moves inside against a suspect group; top call. (7) LITTLE QUICK makes his first start for Johnson and should be tough here except there may not be enough early pace for him - assuming he will be raced from the back as he usually is. (3) GUINESS SEELSTER moves back to the Puddy Barn and could show improvement and share here.

Race 10

(5) CAPELO, one of the hottest horses on the grounds, moves into Moreau's barn off the claim and is very tough to go against at a short price here. (2) PICTONIAN STORM was well behind the choice last time, but it wasn't a bad effort and he could go closer here with a better start. (3) WOGGY ROCKS drops back into a claimer and fits vs. these. (10) DECISIVE DESTINY was dropped into a claimer and taken by Auciello right away. He could make some noise at a big price. (4) ROYAL CANVAS is a good one for the bottom of vertical wagers as he is apt to stay in and follow before passing some tired ones for a smaller share.

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