03/10/2015 3:44PM

Woodbine Harness: Thursday 3/12 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


3,9,10/1,2,7/2/1,3,8,10 - $36

MEET STATS: 89 - 270 / $488.70  BEST BETS: 12 - 26 / $64.30

SPOT PLAYS: 5 - 25 / $54.10

Best Bet: PRESCOTT’S HOPE (6th)

Spot Play: SAM HAYES (7th)

Race 1

(4) OOH SHESA BADLANDS took lots of action at the windows in a large part due to her impeccable breeding but she failed to fire. Perhaps she shows more now with that initial experience under her belt. (3) WARAWEE QUALLY changed barns yet had a similar result while gaining a minor share. She needs to find more late speed to close out a winning mile. (1) MIDNIGHT JET followed a slow pace but at least didn't lose ground when things picked up after the 3/4. She could show further improvement here with a better start.

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Race 2

(6) HURRICANE HAZEL is out of a racemare that throws nothing but winners including local Open trotter Watkins (1:53 1/4). She looks ready to go here in her debut and there isn't a whole lot to beat here. (7) GUSCREST was driven more aggressively as expected but beaten late by a heavy chalk that broke at the start and made a tremendous recovery. This one figures highly here. (2) COLLECTOR CLASSIC is another making his debut coming out of the same qualifier as the choice. He closed ground on her late in that mile and could better this placing.

Race 3

(4) JORDIE'S HOPE followed a leader that cut glacial fractions then got trapped in with pace for the entire stretch when the pace picked up. He will have to improve to knock off likely chalk (3) MUCH ADOO who made two moves and was just caught late in a rapid mile for this class. (7) BELLA NOCHE moves back into a conditioned class from claimers and these look easier which should result in her getting a share.

Race 4

The two main protagonists here both met most of these last time and start farthest out here. Of those two, we'll side with (10) ONE LAST BONO who has been a win machine in 2015 and last week bravely held off (9) KIKISKISSINKOUSIN who got a perfect trip and likely projects to get the same here. Of the others, (3) DAPPLE APPLE showed a bit of improvement first time in a new barn and may go forward again here tonight.

Race 5

(7) KIWI PRES was prominent throughout last week as expected and returns to the same class vs. similar opponents; call to repeat. (2) UTOPIA closed a big gap but was too far back. He is likely to lay much closer early and could turn the tables here. (1) DICKS SECRET hit the exacta almost 50% of the time last year and showed good late trot in her last qualifier. She can be a factor in her season's debut.

Race 6

(2) PRESCOTTS HOPE had just pulled into a beautiful 2nd-over spot nearing the 3/4  pole when the one providing his cover made a dirty break and took him out of contention. That he was only beat 1 1/2 lengths tell us he would have jogged then; top call here. (6) SOUTHWIND TERROR luckily avoided that confusion and powered up late to collar the winded leaders. That was his best mile in a while and he is the main danger. (3) SEA DONKEY closed well in a rapid mile vs. better and is a factor here.

Race 7

(3) SAM HAYES came his back 1/2 in :56.0 in his season's debut and looks ready for a much more aggressive steer; top billing. (10) ROAD SENSE continues to race decently and grab shares. He should factor here from an outer post at a nice price. (8) KREMLIN returns from Flamboro after showing improvement in his most recent mile. He is another that can factor at a price in this wide open dash.

Race 8

(3) CAPELO bravely hung on late to repel one that had a nice trip. He was claimed but faces similar and will be tough to down again. (4) SHOCK N ROCK came out of Capelo's pocket and hung but that was an improved effort and his first try vs. these claimers. (6) WARRIOR CALL is in much better form now than when he left WEG for London. Look for him late.

Race 9

(1) SLIP INTO GLIDE finally hinted at recapturing some of last year's excellent form with a good effort from the 10-hole last week. He drops and likely pops at a short price here from the rail. (8) BRUCE THE BRAVE raced Saturday and showed little but returns quickly and drops back to a class where he has been very competitive recently; beware. (9) EXTRACURRICULAR ships in for the potent Laroque/Filion combo; don't sell too short.

Race 10

(3) VELOCITY LANA showed expected improvement and converted 2nd time out. She comes right back in the same class and is a good bet to top this high-5. (9) BET ON HILL was stymied by an extremely slow pace and ill-timed steer and is more than capable of making amends here. (4) HIGH FASHION MEL kept her record perfect with an upset win vs. easier. She is another contender in a very competitive tilt. (8) IN THE SHADOWS parlayed a good debut into a nice win aided by some brilliant slowing of the pace by her pilot. She is another contender at a good price but more likely for a minor share stepping up to face NW2. (10) YOUR MY SECRET was used hard and got no breathers but held on very well considering. She is one to consider on deeper pick 4 tickets.

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