02/02/2016 2:17PM

Woodbine Harness: Thursday 2/4 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT PICK 5: 6,7,8/3,6/4,5,6/7,8/2,4,5,6,8,10 = $43.20

EARLY PICK 4: 7,8/2,4,5,6,8,10/7,8/4,7 = $48

LATE PICK 4: 3,5,9/4,7/4,7/5,7 = $24

MEET STATS: 226 - 706 / $1211.70  BEST BETS: 37 - 65 / $128.80

SPOT PLAYS: 17 - 65 / $191.30

Best Bet: REGAL FAME (11th)

Spot Play: MOHEGAN BLUE CHIP (7th)

Race 1

(6) MADDYS CREDIT was unhurried in her debut but closed well belatedly. A more aggressive steer could put her in the winner's circle here. (8) SODWANA BAY had her best result ever last time and may be coming around now. (7) SPORTS ANCHOR is related to several solid racehorses such as $600K winner Mach A Wish. She could be right there vs. these if ready.

Race 2

(6) FREDDIE produced an impressive late rush to win last week and looks best here if he stays flat. (3) SPEED DIAL was 4th behind the choice after winning three straight out of town. A better start would give him a chance to turn the tables here. (8) DOMITIAN HALL was a close second at long odds in the same dash which was his best race since returning from a break. All three of these horses closed late last time so tactics will be interesting here.

Race 3

(6) ER QUINN made a sharp move to the front on the backside last week but couldn't hold a well-meant pocket-sitter at bay late. He should be prominent throughout here. (4) MR DESTRUCTION is in great form and closes quickly every week. This race could easily set up for him. (5) EASY LOVER HANOVER is one of several that owner Grant bought for trainer Wallace who lost all of his stock in a fire. The first couple that have raced have bombed out at low odds and this one has missed some time. These types may all need a race here.

Race 4

(8) LUCKY COCKTAIL rolled up late at huge odds last week. She needs to be positioned near the front and it looks like there shouldn't be that many wanting to leave here; top call. (7) IN THE SHADOWS was only two lengths behind the choice and showed improving form before that start; using. (3) TOPVILLE CHEETAH roared to an easy win in a lower class at Flamboro last time. She could make the ticket off a following trip here.

Race 5

(5) WINDSUN GLORY tried to close unsuccessfully into an accelerating pace last time. This race should have more action early and could set up for her late-closing style. (8) BAD AS LEADER drops out of the Blizzard Series where she raced well and she rates highly here. (6) MATTJESTIC TEMPO is showing improvement each week and will break through soon.

Race 6

(7) ERJA changes hands here and has a similar profile as trotter Tarot, who win four straight last year after the same trainer switch; top call. (8) PISCEAN raced okay on the Lifetime Dream series and is likely blasting looking for a spot near the front here. (2) ROSE RUN REANNA showed a bit of improvement last week and can be closer here in her third start back from a break.

Race 7

(4) MOHEGAN BLUE CHIP makes his first start for owner/trainer Tackoor after a November purchase and looks ready based on his Jan. 28 qualifier. (7) WINDSONG LEOPOLD continues to close well and will capitalize soon for his maiden win. (6) GANACUS SEELSTER took a ton of action in his debut but faded badly. He will likely be driven less aggressively here which could lead to a better result.

Race 8

(5) BALLYKEEL NOMBER qualified decently with trotting hopples on Jan. 28 and debuts for Moreau here which is as good a reason as any to try him in this weak field. (9) STRIKINGLYIMPRESIVE can use his good early speed to advantage here if he can stay trotting. He is erratic but fast when he behaves. (3) WHAT A PEACH will likely get sent for good early position here which would give him a shot to share.

Race 9

(4) AMBROSIA SEELSTER has shown potential to be a very good filly so far bUt now enters this start off a 4-week break which is a bit puzzling; slight nod only considering the break. (7) DONTBRUISECARRIE was a sharp maiden winner when dropping from the Blizzard Series last week. She's in with a good shot here. (9) SOPHIES SHADOW drops from the Blizzard series and is one to consider at a big price here.

Race 10

(4) P H KENNY was sent ready by trainer Brealey last week and his stock quite often wins several in a row once they get good; call to repeat. (7) SMALLTOWN TERROR was an impressive winner last week and looks like the main threat to the choice here. (1) GOODMORNINGMISTER ships in and debuts for Larocque who has done well with these types in the past. Toss in late Pick 4 tickets.

Race 11

(7) REGAL FAME drops back into a conditioned claimer where he has excelled. He should be very tough here. (5) VEGILANTE HANOVER was claimed off another narrow loss and is a contender but his low win percentage is a concern. (6) MAJOR DAN raced better in a conditioned claimer and can get a big piece of this. (2) JENKINS CREEK can stay glued to the pylons and take a share here. (1) LMC NUKULAR STRYKE has been racing well in a similar class at Flamboro and should grab a check here.

[DRF HARNESS LIVE: Real-time insights from the DRF Harness team this Saturday at 6:35 p.m.]