02/26/2013 4:54PM

Woodbine Harness: Thursday 2/28 Analysis

Email

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (8-21 / $28.80): AIR MILES HANOVER (2nd)

Spot Play: B YOYO (3rd)

 

Race 1

This race is fairly wide-open, but I selected (7) HERECOMESTHENIGHT based on his qualifying effort. He finished his mile with a lot of trot including a :29 1/5 final quarter over a track listed as ‘good.’ (6) WINDSONG INVINCEBL might be the post time favorite, but he’s certainly beatable. Last start he made a break and the start before he was assigned post 10. (9) KNOCKABOUT ROSIE hasn’t missed the board yet in her career and is a terrific option to consider. She shows gate speed and might offer value like she did last week with an outside post

Race 2

(6) AIR MILES HANOVER is very lightly raced and finished a strong second last week, beaten only by a neck. She can only improve off that effort as this marks her second start of 2013. (8) ANGELS DELIGHT is the other top contender in here and also was only beaten by a neck last start after finishing third behind AIR MILES HANOVER. Both of these horses won’t provide value and I believe it’s between them for the win. (1) RUTHS SHADYLADY has won a pair of races at Kawartha Downs and I feel she’s ready to make the transition onto this circuit. I’m not convinced she can win, but based on her two previous race-lines, she’s a good option to have if you’re playing the triactor.

Race 3

(2) B YOYO was full of trot last week before making a break at the top of the stretch. It was trainer Mackenzie’s first start with this horse since shipping to Canada and if he can have him figured out, he’s the horse to beat. (3) STRAWBERRY WINE raced very well last week for first-time trainer/driver Wassilyn. Wassilyn has had a solid year so far with a very high percentage, which should be taken into consideration. (1) BLOODSTOCKSHALLTAB is very lightly-raced in his career and raced well last week for new trainer Wallace. He’s back on a better rotation and should be fit to compete.

Race 4

(2) FIRST IMPRESSION came first-over last week en route to victory with a :27 final quarter. He does slightly move up in class, but is certainly capable of winning. (6) DG CASH FOR LIFE dropped in class last week and it proved to be the correct move after a second place effort. He remains at the same level and this class is a perfect suit for him. (7) EVENING JOB has been racing very well lately and that should continue in here. He finished second at this level last week from the same post and is a terrific option to consider for the triactor.

Race 5

(1) DESIGNER GENES was assigned post 10 last week and made a break in stride near the wire. That’s very uncharacteristic of her and this week she draws the rail. She won at this level two starts ago and is a top threat with a better post to work with. (6) SWISS LIGHTNING also made a break last week, but the start before he was timed in 1:56 3/4 at The Meadowlands. Any type of effort like that and he’s a major contender. (5) JOLIE BLUE CHIP might be considered a longshot, but I’m looking for value and I think she’s capable of being top three. She’s had two starts since her layoff and dropped time in both of them. She also has gate speed and raced very well last week.

Race 6

(4) JJS CURRENT came from far back last week to finish a hard-closing second. He draws further inside this week and if he’s not too far back, he’s got a great shot to win at this same class. If (10) SKY DESPERADO can mind his manners like he did last week, then he’s a big factor in this race. He’s got the gate speed and he drops in class. (8) GENTLEMAN FRIEND has finished second and third in this class in his last two starts. He’s been parked to the quarter in both his last two appearances and still hit the board. He’s a very playable horse.

Race 7

(4) BURNING BEACHES came first-over last week and got tired in deep stretch. She’ll likely be the post time favorite, but I’m hoping for a better trip. (5) CHARDONARY SEELSTER adds Lasix for the first time and she should get some attention as she hasn’t missed the board yet this season. (2) CLEF SIGN HANOVER will be considered a longshot, but she’s dropped time in each of her last two starts since her layoff. She also draws better and should be well positioned.

Race 8

This race is wide-open in my opinion, but I selected (6) VALDABRO. He shows enough speed and I’m hoping to see a better trip than last week. I’m also looking for value as this is a terrific betting race. If (10) MARABOU drew inside, he may have been my top pick. He hasn’t missed the board yet in both his starts this season and I feel this is an easier class than he’s been facing. (8) MIDFIELD MAGIC came first-over last week and that’s not his best racing style. He does draw outside, but is a top contender in this class.

Race 9

(1) SAMILLION DOLLARS has been racing terrific in 2013 and found the winner’s circle last week in this class. She draws inside and likely will be the post time favorite. She can race on or near the front or from behind. (5) ST LADS MORGAN debuts for Moreau’s barn, which will lower her value. She remains at this same level where she won in her last two of three starts. (2) EXPRESS JET might be considered a longshot, but I like the way she raced last week. If she can get the same, off-the-pace trip, I like her chances to be a part of the triactor.

Race 10

(3) RASHABEC left the gate then came first-over around the final turn and scored a hard-fought win. He draws better and remains at the same level. (7) SHOW TOPPER drops in class where he won at two starts ago. He draws outside, but has the speed to be well positioned. (2) CARDINAL ZIN finished second at this level last week after coming from far back. He draws a little better and I can’t see him getting away too far back again.

Race 11

(2) OUR DESIRE has won two of her last three starts and I think she can handle this class on this circuit. She also comes from the Shepherd barn, which has been terrific so far in 2013. (4) ORILLIA ZOEY has won four of her last five starts and makes the move onto this circuit. She moves up in class, but is a top threat for top trainer Allard. (3) PUFF MOMMY drops in class and at this level, I feel she’s capable of being top three. She draws well and has a good on-the-board record this season.

 

[DRF HARNESS: Sign Up for the FREE DRF Harness Newsletter Today!]