02/25/2015 12:09PM

Woodbine Harness: Thursday 2/26 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


1,2,5/3,8/2,8,9/2,10 = $36

MEET STATS: 74 - 220 / $406.40  BEST BETS: 10 - 21 / $43.10 

SPOT PLAYS: 5 - 20 / $54.10


Spot Play: WOGGY ROCKS (4th)

Race 1

With the Thursday night cards cancelled twice in a row due to weather, several in here haven’t raced in three weeks, so we’ll give the edge to (2) MYSTIQUE BEACHBUM, who has been racing well at London and comes in here for high % connections. (5) ONE BADLAND NIGHT was driven hard to make the front last time and barely held her foes at bay. The time off may actually help her after that hard race. (3) BELLA MASTER also has a conditioning edge and drops into a claimer. She could upset.

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Race 2

(5) ACCENTURE HANOVER is the most expensive yearling out of a decent dam. He brought $80K at Harrisburg and looks ready to roll first out here. (4) MURS SON left hard for position, stayed in, then rallied well up the dead rail on a snow-covered surface. He is good now and is the one to take down. (2) WHY ARGUE could get a decent piece of this if he can recapture his form from early January.

Race 3

This race is a bit of a head scratcher, but if (6) ULTIMATE RED has ironed out the issues that have caused his gait problems, he should be tough in here. (1) JL TIMES R GOOD got stung first-over first off the claim but hung in there decently considering. (4) UTOPIA is another that has had some gait issues, but the trainer got a good line on him in the recent qualifier and maybe has some things straightened out.

Race 4

(1) WOGGY ROCKS was primed by Moiseyev to blast off the gate from the 10-hole last week but too many to his left had the same plan and he was forced to take a seat in 4th, which isn’t his trip. Pocket-rocket upset special tonight. (2) CAPELO is obviously the one to beat in his current razor-sharp form. (5) DECISIVE DESTINY drops to face much easier and could just mow them all down late.

Race 5

(3) MAPLELEA dominated this group last time and has by far the best late speed of these. She’ll be very tough to beat. (1) NIPPY W HANOVER is likely to revert back to a front end style here and is the main danger to the choice. (8) WAKE N BAKE has deceptively good form and would be a threat to win it all if she were closer turning home.

Race 6

(2) JOSEPH GERARD was sent on a big speed mission last Friday and stopped in the last 1/8th. He drops into a claimer here and can go much better if given an easier trip early by Macdonnell; top call. (8) BIG PACKAGE returned to his best form last week and is obviously much better when placed near the front early. Waples will be sending him. (9) TYMAL COLOSSUS has been very sharp for weeks, but the 9-hole may be his undoing here unless he can get a seat early and grab some cover.

Race 7

(2) PINOT GRIGIO showed rapid acceleration and some talent winning her debut. These don’t look much tougher. (10) TWIN B SWEETHEART has shown good closing power in both qualifiers and is a threat to take this at a price. (7) WARAWEE QUALLY hasn’t been able to finish off her opponents but gets a barn change here which could put her over the top.

Race 8

(3) IN THE SHADOWS is out of a dam that won 5 of her first 7 starts in Quebec Sires Stakes and took a mark of 1:52 3/5 as a 3YO. This is her first foal and she looks ready to go; top call. (9) YOUR MY SECRET got very good in a hurry at Miami Valley but has now missed more than a month’s racing; mixed signals here. (6) MACH OF THE TOWN showed a bit of late speed for Henry last time. She could be a lot closer with a better start.

Race 9

(3) TOMEI SEELSTER had shown good improvement at Woodbine before shipping west to easily beat a group of overmatched foes in London. Trainer Stewart spots her well here back in a claimer for her return to the big oval and she has a big shot. (4) GOOD LUCK KATHY had a couple of eventful trips racing out of town but returns in a class where she fits and figures highly.  (1) PLAY GROUND will be coming late, but is a victim to pace and flow with her current racing style.

Race 10

(5) GREYSTONE MOE really turned it around last time ripping off the fastest mile of the night on February 9th to win comfortably. The runner-up came back to win easily from the 10-hole off the claim. Let’s give Moe top billing here even with the class rise. (9) SEA STAR fits this class like a glove and will be prominent throughout. (2) ELECTRIFY will be coming last as always, but needs things to break perfectly for him to win; a minor award is likely. (10) PRESCOTTS HOPE has been very consistent and likely shares here even from the 10-hole. (8) WHOSURPAPA won two straight out of town employing different styles and merits an attempt over the big oval.

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