02/24/2016 10:59AM

Woodbine Harness: Thursday 2/25 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT PICK 5: 6/1,2,4,7/1,2,6/1,3,5,6/2,3 = $19.20

EARLY PICK 4: 1,3,5,6/2,3/1,2,4,6,7/1,8 = $80

LATE PICK 4: 1,8/1,2,5,10/3,6/1,7,9,10 = $64

MEET STATS: 261 - 818 / $1374.60  BEST BETS: 42 - 76 / $149.90

SPOT PLAYS: 18 - 76 / $196.90

Best Bet: DONICUS (1st)

Spot Play: BETTYS BAY (7th)

Race 1

(6) DONICUS used a powerful third quarter move to dominate similar last week and keep his seasonal record perfect. This field is no tougher; call to repeat. (8) SOUTHWIND GIZZEL displayed high late speed when qualifying for this seasonal debut. She can threaten if she doesn’t get too far back early. (7) A ROD HALL broke early last time but recovered to finish third. He should hit the ticket here.

Race 2

(1) STONEHOUSE PETEY raced decently off the claim, chasing a dominant winner. There is no reason he can’t contend in this weak field. (7) LMC NUKULAR STRYKE faces much easier and will likely go off favored here. He should be gunning for the top early. (4) SKY GUY finished right together with the choice after following throughout but has a better chance here vs. a suspect field.

Race 3

(1) WINDSONG MAGIC slowed it down too much to the half last time and was ambushed by the rival that won. She was coming back on again at the end of the mile. A more aggressive steer gets it done here. (6) JAYPORT ON THE EDGE may take big action tonight because of the way he closed last week after getting held up. I’m not sold he is better than the choice at this point. (2) FASHION STAR makes his seasonal debut and it’s encouraging that he got a clean qualifying line in his first try considering the gait issues he had last year. He can share here.

Race 4

(1) CROWN ISLE raced okay trying to advance first up last time, but the winner slipped out of the pocket in front of him. He could carve out a winning trip here at a price. (3) FUTURE MILLION just missed holding on and is the one to chase down again. (5) KABLOOIE makes his second start off the claim and the improved post is a big plus here; using.

Race 5

(2) DREAMFAIR MESA was bet like he couldn’t lose in his debut last week and looked good winning. He faces tougher here but may be up to it. (3) THREE TRUTHS exits the Count B series and faces easier. He will be in the hunt here and is the one to beat. (10) WICHITA LINEMAN was first up against a very impressive undefeated colt and was repelled last week. He is in with a puncher’s chance here but will need to work out a trip.

Race 6

(4) CROWNINGCREST raced well first time in a claimer last week and perhaps he has found his proper class level now. (6) MAGICAL PUMPKIN set reasonable fractions then tired late. He may carry his speed farther here. (7) TOWNLINE MOMMA was hung the mile vs. non-winners of two last time. If she can clear early vs. these, she has a shot.

Race 7

(8) BETTYS BAY showed some late speed in her season’s debut, which was only her third lifetime start. She could get a more aggressive steer here; call to upset. (1) DOCS DIVA is the one to beat on paper but is already turning into a bit of a money burner. (7) JENS CREDIT looks best of the rest and she should at least be near the front early.

Race 8

(10) FLAHERTY went a good trip vs. an impressive and heavily-bet debut winner last time. He can take these if the intent is there from the 10-hole. (5) FANCOURT is related to a few decent winners and might be ready to fire a big one in this debut mile. (1) MOHEGAN BLUE CHIP has disappointed but may be ready to fire his best shot now that the rust is gone.

Race 9

(6) REGALLY MAGNIFIED drops back into claimers where he was winning at Flamboro and will likely offer a square price here. He gets the slight nod over (3) REGAL FAME, who looks tons the best on paper but has missed three weeks, which is a bit of a head scratcher. (2) OK GLADIATOR moves into Auciello’s barn off the claim and should show more here.

Race 10

(10) LADY SANTANNA had a brutal trip last week and failed as the choice. She should be able to find a helmet to follow here and could click at a much better price. (1) MIDNIGHT MAYHEM drops into claimers and gets a better post. She has a good chance vs. these. (7) HOLIDAY ROMANCE also drops into claimers and should be able to carry her good early speed further here. (9) JINGLEWRITER can share at a big price if she starts her move earlier this time. (2) BLUSHING PROMISE improved for McNair as many do and she could better that placing too.

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