02/16/2016 2:51PM

Woodbine Harness: Thursday 2/18 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT PICK 5: 6,8/3,4,5/3,8,9/2,4,8/2,4 = $21.60

EARLY PICK 4: 2,4,8/2,5/7,9,10/2,4 = $36         

LATE PICK 4: 2,4/4,6/2,3,4,5,7/2,8 = $40

MEET STATS: 248 - 778 / $1319.00  BEST BETS: 41 - 72 / $146.80

SPOT PLAYS: 17 - 72 / $191.30


Spot Play: CROWN ISLE (7th)

Race 1

(6) LADY SANTANA was a strong winner here two back then went a big uncovered trip out of town. She looks best here in the opener. (8) FROSTY DELIGHT won last week despite losing several positions on the final turn when bumpy-gaited. She is dangerous at this level but also erratic. (7) RHONDAS EXAMPLE set the pace vs. the choice last out and hung on reasonably well. She should get a slice here.

Race 2

(5) INEXPLICABLE RUBY has been finishing off her miles quickly but has been just too far back to make an impact. The short field plays into her hand here; top call. (4) BLUEBERRY WILL showed a bit of promise last year and this isn't the toughest group to meet for her sophomore debut. She's in the mix here. (3) I C YOUR SHADOW always seems to threaten but can't seem to get there. Once again - on paper - she figures.

Race 3

(9) MAGICAL PUMPKIN adds Lasix here for trainer Auciello which has been a winning recipe on occasion; angle play. (8) HERECOMESTHEBRIDE makes her third start for Moreau and this is a weak group; using. (3) DOMITIAN HALL will take them coast-to-coast one of these times; maybe tonight?

Race 4

(4) WINDSUN FALLS drops out of the Count B series and should find this group much easier. Notice his last try vs. maidens was pretty good. (2) DREAMFAIR MESA is a homebred that debuts for connections that have had a few good ones over the years; using. (8) CATCH TWENTY TWO closed quickly vs. a very good winner last time. A similar effort puts him right there vs. these.

Race 5

(5) P H KENNY went a big trip last time but was edged by one that could be very good. He should be tough vs. this group. (2) SCARY HARRY was too far back in the same race but the improved post should help here. He is likely the one the choice will need to fend off late. (1) ROLLING ROCK was third in the same dash but seems a bit win-shy; minor award predicted.

Race 6

(9) SECRET MISSY has raced well twice in a row and should be right there if she is put into this race from the outset. (7) ERJA took herself out of the race entering the backstretch last time. The price will climb and she still rates highly if she can stay flat throughout. (10) KADDY continues to grind out checks but needs to overcome the worst post here.

Race 7

(4) CROWN ISLE was a no go from the outside last week but finished well despite being well-beaten. Drury should be sending him early here. (2) PRINCE ADAM finished well last time now gets Zeron back for a second drive. He might get moving earlier here which would give him a much better chance. (9) ROLANDALE BUSTER was a decent third in his first start over Woodbine and he merits inclusion here.

Race 8

(4) DOCS DIVA was unhurried until the stretch last time then closed well for 2nd. She should get involved earlier here with that clean line behind her. (6) PONDER THE DREAM had a long trip from the worst post and still managed to keep coming for 4th in the same dash. She should get aggressive early here; using. (7) FEISTYS LEGACY showed improvement last time and isn't out of this.

Race 9

(4) YOURE MY HERO debuts for trainer Weller who does well with limited stock. He could win at first asking here. (2) H P BLACK SHADOW provided perfect cover for the chalk last week and couldn't repel him late. He might be closing in on his second win now. (7) STONEHOUSE PETEY should improve here going first time for Montini off the claim.

Race 10

(8) AMBROSIA SEELSTER was short last time after missing four weeks. She should be much tougher here. (2) MADDYS CREDIT suffered interference near the wire which cost her a couple of lengths last time. She should be dangerous from close range here. (7) IN THE SHADOWS could improve right away with Moiseyev as trainer/driver. (9) SODWANA BAY was a sharp maiden winner but benefitted from a soft trip; minor share is likely here. (1) QUEENOFTHEJUNGLE could better this placing with the post relief she enjoys here.

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