12/05/2017 3:48PM

Woodbine Harness: Thursday 12/7 Analysis


Best Bet: JAYDA NICOLE (8th)


Race 1 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

PICK 5: 2,3,8 / 2,3,4,6 / 1,6 / 3,6,9 / 4,7,9 = $43.20

EARLY PICK 4: 3,6,9 / 4,7,9 / 1,6,8 / 3,4 = $54

LATE PICK 4: 2,3,4,7 / 1 / 2,3,5,8 / 4,7 = $32

MEET STATS: 86 - 280 / $505.10  BEST BETS: 15 - 27 / $61.80

SPOT PLAYS: 10 - 27 / $100.60

Race 1

(2) JIMEY RED is one I’ll take a shot with going for a barn that sends them ready in a spot that shouldn’t be tough. (8) LYONS STEEL missed some time, but he adds Lasix and faces easier, so he could challenge here. (3) HERMANUS is 0 for 11 but he raced decently last time, and this is a spot where he could break through. (5) SAULSBROOK DEPUTY has made the exacta in 75 percent of his starts and merits a look.

Race 2

(3) SENTINEL SEELSTER, with two wins in his last four starts, gets a slight nod in another tough race that seemingly has little solid form to go on. (4) PEACE KEEPER stayed flat and broke through with a win last time. If he behaves, he should contend here, too. (2) OCEANVIEW DEB regularly takes a share and she can make the ticket here, at a minimum. (6) MASS PSYCHOLOGY managed to stay flat last time and raced okay. Her 0 for 21 record doesn’t inspire great confidence, but she does fit here.

Race 3

(6) BURN OUT HANOVER made two moves in a quick mile last week. A slightly easier trip and he gets the job done. (1) MY TEEN IDOL impressively swept by late vs. easier, but the way he did it suggests he can compete with these. (4) IAMSAM SAMIAM is in solid form and he should share here again. (3) IMCOOLERONLINE couldn’t last vs. easier last time; smaller share predicted here.

Race 4

(3) CHICKIE LOVE was used hard early last time and she still almost lasted; top call here. (6) SODWANA BAY shoots for three straight and she is hard to ignore, but she may get more pace pressure here, which could soften her up. (9) SOUTHWIND ION made up a lot of ground late last time. She’s in with a shot here from a slightly better post. (2) BAD IN PARADISE is the one that softened up the choice last time, but she missed a check as a result. I would expect a more conservative steer this time.

Race 5

(9) ROYAL WITCH is a risky play, but if she can stay flat she rates highly vs. these and she should be a good price; slight nod. (7) SON OF ZEUS was in good position to strike when he broke last week. He can bounce back here. (4) ICE HOCKEY HANOVER qualified well for McClure. Maybe he can wake him up in this spot. (5) NOBLE PRIZE will be the pacesetter again here, but it’s unlikely that he holds them all off.

Race 6

(8) INDEPENDENT SPIRIT raced tough last out and he has raced well each time with Roy driving; slight nod. (1) REGIL TIGER beat many of these last week and he’s hard to leave out here; using. (6) IDOLE DUHARAS is one you need to use on Pick 4 tickets going for trainer Fellows off the claim. (2) INTENDED STYLE has seen better days, but he could hit the ticket here if he behaves.

Race 7

(3) MEADOWBROOKCHARLIE was sharp in his local debut and he can take these with a reasonable trip. (4) ODD BALL can threaten here if he stays flat this time. (2) JILONA goes for the top trainer coming off a narrow win vs. easier; using. (7) BURLINGTON also faces tougher here coming off a win, but he was impressive last time and he can share.

Race 8

(1) JAYDA NICOLE took all the action at the windows last time, then she rolled by her foes in the stretch while under no urging; call to repeat. (8) BIG CHUTE was a decent 2nd to the choice when coming off a break and she should share again. (3) PAYTHELINEBLUECHIP re-qualified decently and she’s worth a look here at a price. (7) WONWHITESOCKWOMAN won when coming off a break and she could hit the ticket at a price with more progression.

Race 9

(3) WESMONT easily beat similar last week and he’s a good bet to double up here. (8) MYSTICAL MISSION powered home in 56-flat to almost get there last week and he should be a player here in his current sharp form. (5) ROSESAREEXPLOSIVE should improve in her second start for Baillargeon; using. (2) HIGHLAND TOP HILL raced much better last time and she’s not out of this.

Race 10


(4) PRINCE CLYDE put up some big fractions last time and he predictably tired. He gets a better post here and is a big threat to wire these. (7) BANK SHOT HANOVER tipped his hand pacing a 26 4/5 third quarter last week. Toss him in the late Pick 4. (2) EVASIVE CARD SHARK is in solid form, but moving up he likely takes only a smaller share here. (10) SPEEDLING exits a very quick mile and he might close for a piece of this at big odds. (1) SPIDER MAN HANOVER can hit one of the bottom exotic rungs off a following trip.