01/24/2017 5:19PM

Woodbine Harness: Thursday 1/26 Analysis


Race 1 - $40,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

PICK 5: 3/2,8,9/2,4,5,6/2,8,9,10/3,4 = $19.20

EARLY PICK 4: 2,8,9,10/3,4/1,3,4,7/8,9 = $64

LATE PICK 4: 8,9/1,3/3,8,9/1,8 = $24

MEET STATS: 88 - 354 / $496.10  BEST BETS: 14 - 33 / $54.50

SPOT PLAYS: 11 - 32 / $56.60


Spot Play: SR BEACH BABE (4th)

Race 1

(3) BROOKLETSJUSTIFIED faces much easier here and he likely converts at a very short price; Pick 5 single. (2) JUST A THOUGHT was on non-advancing cover last time but he still rallied well late; exacta factor. (8) FREDDY BEAR went too fast, too soon last week. A more patient steer puts him into contention. (6) HOME JAMES is worth a look for the exotics while dropping out of the Snowshoe series.

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Race 2

(8) SHOOT THE THRILL retains McNair and faces similar; call to repeat. (9) ALL B OVER fits better in a claimer and he is likely to be sent early; using. (2) TOP DOLLAR will be closing, but the question is if he will be close enough or not. (6) LADY CATERINA figures for a smaller share.

Race 3

(4) KLOOF STREET closed impressively last week but the winner was too good. She can win here if she starts up earlier. (6) AMERICAN CURVES stopped when first up on a wet track, but she had missed almost a month then. She's worth a look at a price here. (5) TEARFUL OF HAPPY picks up McNair for her 2nd start of the year; using. (2) COLLECTIVE WISDOM is another that can make some noise from close range; consider.

Race 4

(9) SR BEACH BABE was too far back and on too much cover last time, but she kept coming. She can turn the tables here with a better start. (8) CASIMIR PARDON ME was hard used throughout last week and still hung around for 3rd. She could get a slightly easier journey here, which would move her up. (2) NIPS BEACH GIRL fits this class well and is another that is a threat. (10) MATTJESTIC TEMPO circled a tiring foe on the backside and powered to a nice win off a break. Post 10 is obviously no bargain, but she's not out of this.

Race 5

(4) ALEXAS LUCK fell just short to a more experienced rival in her debut last week. She looks like one of two contenders here, the other being (3) MIA OH MY, who should threaten with this post relief. (7) MIMIS DELIGHT moves into Zeron's barn and she could make the ticket at a big price. (1) DANCING SHADOWS can take a share if she can stay flat.

Race 6

(1) ROAD LIGHT was 2nd to a solid winner last time and that followed a month break; top call. (3) DEAR DAD is worth considering making his initial start for Vanderkemp. (4) SOUTH WIN BAX showed some late interest in his seasonal debut when behind the choice. He can share here. (7) IN FOR ALOG HAUL can show a lot more if he stays flat here. He does retain the leading driver.

Race 7

(9) PUSH BACK drops to the bottom level quickly for Tackoor here. You have to expect aggression considering a claim is likely. (8) CHEYENNE FORD was closing fast last time, but he was too far back. He's a threat, but traffic woes could be his undoing. (7) VITAL SIGN should be given a look moving into Allard's stable. (4) LITTLE QUICK can pass many of these and take a small share.

Race 8

(1) SENSELESS BEAUTY returned from a long absence to register two impressive wins. I'll stick with her here. (3) XELENE BAYAMA likely has the screws tightened now and she is capable of uncorking a big mile; beware. (4) STONEBRIDGE PEARL was perfectly driven to win in the opening leg, but she may find the top two tougher this time. (8) I DEAL IN KISSES adds Lasix and goes for Allard here, but the stale qualifier date is a concern.

Race 9

(8) ELDORADO OF GOLD S curiously comes up tagged coming off a big conditioned win last week. He looks best here, but there are mixed signals. (9) TYMAL WIZARD was beaten by one that slipped up the rail while he was taking the overland route; using. (3) ALACRITY fits in this claiming class and he could be a decent price here. (6) GIRL DRAMA projects to get another minor share.

Race 10

(1) BIG CITY JEWEL makes his second start back here and he should get a smoother trip; slight nod. (8) RAFA is dropping and he will take action here. He is erratic but he can take these if he is sent to the front and allowed to keep rolling. (6) KOULTONS ROCKET is a good one to use in the lower exotics slots. (7) HIDDEN POTENTIAL is another that frequently finishes on the fringes. (5) WALTZKING HANOVER had a strange trip at Flamboro the other day when he gapped cover then finished evenly. He can take a smaller share.

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