12/01/2015 1:38PM

Woodbine Harness: Thursday 12/3 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT PICK 5: 7,9,10/1,3,5,8/3,5/4,6,7/2,7,9 = $43.20

EARLY PICK 4: 4,6,7/2,7,9/4,8,9/3,5 = $54

LATE PICK 4: 3,5/1,3/4,5,10/2,4,5,6 = $48

MEET STATS: 119 - 378 / $601.90  BEST BETS: 19 - 34 / $60.60

SPOT PLAYS: 8 - 34 / $99.80

Best Bet: HEY DALI (9th)

Spot Play: CARLY HOLLYWOOD (10th)

Race 1

(7) MANDO FUN ships in off two big wins then a vet scratch and debuts for trainer Nixon who does well with new acquisitions. Top call despite the time off. (10) BAD GAMER is a 1/2 brother to Filly American National winner Devil Child and this colt could make some noise here in his debut at a price. (9) MUSIC TO MY GEARS, a homebred, is the first foal to race out of a dam that was 9-9-9 in 60 starts and was a winner of her first three races. It's very possible this one has more to offer than what meets the eye on the program.

Race 2

(3) BLUESTONE MUSCLES is a 1/2 sister to Opulent Yankee who took a mark of 1:51 4/5 at two and was a winner of 6 of 18 with nine 2nds this year as a three-year-old. This filly looks ready to go here. (8) KILMER ROAD is out of an unraced mare that has produced three winners from three that have raced so far. This gelding was a narrow loser to the choice in the qualifier and could turn the tables here. (1) ERJA broke at the start in London then recovered well to nab 2nd. She is another in with a chance here.

Race 3

(5) CALIFORNIA RACHEL changes barns and gets leading driver Filion here. Those changes may do the trick here vs. a weak group. (3) PREMIER GLITTER has been racing well at Northville Downs and could take these a long way with an expected aggressive steer from Jackie Mo. (2) THOUGHTFUL LEADER drops out of the Autumn Series and could show a lot more here.

Race 4

(4) MAN OF MANY ARTS raced decently last week in his first try vs. claimers and that race followed a 5-week break. He should be much sharper here; top call. (6) BEIBER HANOVER made a power move to the front at the right time last week which left the choice buried. He's dangerous right back but also beatable at what could be a short price. (7) MIDNIGHT PLAY was closing fastest late in that dash and is another to toss on Pick 4 tickets.            

Race 5

(2) PIER HO TEMPTATION was out the route last week now moves inside a couple of slots which could help produce a perfect trip and an upset win. (7) FRANZO is the one that hung the choice out and he held on decently, considering. His 0-10 record is concerning but he is sharp and competitive, unlike many of his rivals here. (9) IMKEEPNTHISGUY drops into a claimer for the first time and should be right there vs, these.

Race 6

(4) GIRL DRAMA could get a dream set-up here with so much early speed lined up on the outside of the gate; slight nod in a contentious heat. (9) JOSEPH GERARD was sharp leaving last time then under siege immediately as the lead changed hands several times. If he clears and gets a breather here, the result will be much different. (8) WINE PHOTO was a winner in this class last time he raced at this level and he merits respect.

Race 7

(3) BARBARAS SHADOW waited far too long to make her move last time and couldn't close into a quick final 1/4. I doubt Zeron will make the same mistake here. (5) CRACKLIN ROSE comes into this start sporting a quick qualifier and looks faster than she was in the summer; using. (8) WARAWEE RAP closed quickly but belatedly last time. She has an outside chance here but is starting to look like a professional maiden.

Race 8

(3) MAGICAL PUMPKIN has been very sharp the past three weeks and has a great chance to take another here. (1) GRAND PREMIERE ships from Hoosier with some solid form and Allard always drives very aggressively at this meet; using. (10) NIGHTONTHEROAD has been racing well and never gets bet. He could hit the ticket at a big price here.

Race 9

(4) HEY DALI made two moves and finished a solid third to a strong winner last time in his first start over the track. He should be even better coming back in a week here. (5) SURF REPORT gutted out an overland win first up last week and fits this class well. (10) NEEDLECREST looked destined to finish 2nd last time when he broke. He has an outside chance to light up the tote board here if all is well with him.

Race 10

(4) CARLY HOLLYWOOD showed some life late last week and might be able to work out a better trip leaving from the inside of the gate; call to upset. (2) BRAVEHEARTEDMILLIE blew up the tote board last week, winning easily in her first start in a claimer. She's the one to beat. (5) TWIN B INSPIRING figures to head for the front and try to lead these all the way. She could do it if she can steal a slowish first half. (6) PATHTODOVER has been racing great out of town and merits respect here. (1) MOREMUNKYBUSINESS rarely misses the top five and should be included on High-5 tickets.

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