12/20/2016 3:12PM

Woodbine Harness: Thursday 12/22 Analysis


Race 1 - $40,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

PICK 5: 6,10/7,8/4,6,9/2,5,6/1,2 = $14.40

EARLY PICK 4: 2,5,6/1,2/3,7,8,10/3,9 = $48

LATE PICK 4: 1,3,4,6,9/6,7/1,7,9/6 = $30

MEET STATS: 61 - 238 / $367.30  BEST BETS: 9 - 23 / $30.30

SPOT PLAYS: 6 - 22 / $28.80


Spot Play: TYMAL WIZARD (3rd)

Race 1

(6) FREE WILLY HANOVER showed some grit last time fending off a persistent challenger when talking his second straight win since coming back off a break. These aren't much tougher; call to threepeat. (10) GROUPIE DOLL was a strong winner when coming off the shelf last week. She looks like the main threat. (9) ARCHERY continues to improve and he isn't out of this. (4) SWAN FOR DEE blew up last time, but notice she won in this class two back. She is another to consider here.

Race 2

(7) IMSPORTY paced a 26 3/5 third 1/4 on his way to a second straight win. He goes for the highest tag here looking for another and he looks very tough in this spot. (8) MR MACH JIMMY drops back in for a tag in his second start for Moreau. Notice he beat the choice three back; using. (1) OCAPTAIN MYCAPTAIN hasn't been far behind the choice recently. He figures to take another slice here. (2) TOP DESIRE couldn't catch the choice last week and he is another that figures for a smaller share here.

Race 3

(6) TYMAL WIZARD drops back down to a level that should be better for him and he should get a favorable pace scenario with two big speed threats lined up in the outermost posts. (4) TOP DOLLAR is another that should benefit from a solid early pace and he will be passing rivals late. (9) DIRTY SECRET couldn't withstand the winner's wicked backstretch brush last time, but she should last a lot longer in this class. (7) GIRL DRAMA could do better here if she can latch onto the cover of one of the top two choices.

Race 4

(6) DORABELLA gets re-classified here and in for a tag she should be a major player. (2) BOOZER BRUISER woke up in a huge way for Filion last time. She should contend again if she can produce the same kind of late speed. (5) NIPS BEACH GIRL could last longer here. Allard has been heating up the past couple of cards. (8) CASIMIR PARDON ME should get a piece of this if she can avoid too long of a trip.

Race 5

(2) CLOUSEAU HANOVER was just short last week now he faces a group he should handle; graduation day. (1) WINDSUN GOTHAM is a debuting homebred who is related to a couple of decent local horses; using. (8) BOBS FELLA raced well in his lone qualifier on a track rated five seconds slow. He could crack the exotics at first asking here. (3) CHUMMY PARK improved with Jamieson driving and he can take another slice here.

Race 6

(10) VASCO BI shows a bit of ability and his main rivals here are a combined 0 for 49. He is worth a try at what should be a square price here. (7) ANDOVERS CHOICE (0 for 25) and (8) IGOCRAZY WITHOUT U (0 for 24) look best on form and should be used in the Pick 4 but are unlikely to offer any value in the win pool. (3) MISTER BLUES is worth inclusion off the mild improvement he showed last time.

Race 7

(9) LEVY TAYLORE gets Doug McNair for the first time which has been a hugely profitable angle at this meet; call to upset based on the angle. (3) A BOY NAMED SUUZZ faces easier here than he has in claiming handicaps and he must be considered. (1) MR IRRESISTIBLE raced okay in a quick mile here two back; using. (4) BIG PETES STYLE should take a smaller share if he can stay flat this time.

Race 8

(6) WITHAHEARTTOMATCH looks best here if missing a start due to weather doesn't affect him too much; slight nod. (7) DEUCE DEUCE DEUCE is another in good form that has missed time. He too should contend if the time off hasn't made him rusty. (2) THE POWER OF MANY can't seem to hit the win column, but he does figure to get a good trip and take a slice here. (3) DAYTROOPER is in solid form out of town, but he'd need to find more late speed to threaten for the win here.

Race 9

(9) CALGARY SEELSTER should be able to clear these before the 1/4 which would make him very tough here. (7) BEACH TERROR could get a similarly dreamy trip like he got when he won on the 15th; using. (1) PYLATER is erratic at times and poorly-gaited, but he should be able to grab a piece here. (3) ROYAL CANVAS is worth a look for the bottom of the exotics shipping in for Bourassa.

Race 10

(6) HUGHGETTHECREDIT was no match late for a big bomb last time, but he looks best here and he can bounce back with a win vs. these. (9) RED JOHN is one of many that responded with a win first time McNair took the reins. He could threaten here off that confidence-building win. (2) AMAZING PERCH made a solid first-up move to take a win in a small field last time. He figures here, too. (1) JRS BIG BUDDY should get a much better trip here moving inside several slots; consider. (4) MR MATCH ON BEACH set a pace that was way too fast which set the race up for an upsetter. He could better this placing with more careful handling.

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