12/13/2016 5:30PM

Woodbine Harness: Thursday 12/15 Analysis


Race 1 - $40,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

MEET STATS: 50 - 197 / $276.20

BEST BETS: 8 - 19 / $25.80   SPOT PLAYS: 4 - 19 / $19.10

PICK 5: 2,7,9/1,3,7/1,5,10/3,8/4,6,10 = $32.40

EARLY PICK 4: 3,8/4,6,10/1,4,6/6,7 = $36

LATE PICK 4: 6,7/ALL/10/2 = $20


Spot Play: ONE LAST BONO (9th)

Race 1

(9) CLOUSEAU HAN0VER took a major shuffle last week but he did have some late pace to offer. Maybe he has found a good spot here. (7) FREDDY BEAR is worth a look as he attracts Filion off a powerful debut win out of town. (2) SWELLENDAM finished quickly last week and he is in with a decent chance here. (1) AMAZING PERCH goes first time off the claim after missing time. He is likely to grab a smaller slice here.

Race 2

(7) WITHAHEARTTOMACH had some trot to offer late in the mile after getting shuffled last time. She looks as good as any in a wide-open trot to kick things off. (3) GROUPIE DOLL qualified okay and she seems to do her best work for Filion; using. (1) ARCHERY moves off the 10-hole which could result in a bit easier trip here. (6) SUNRISE AVENUE is turning into a bit of a money-burner. I'll play against her again.

Race 3

(10) IMSPORTY goes for the highest tag here off a powerful life's best win last week and not even the 10-hole should stop him here. (5) OCAPTAIN MYCAPTAIN couldn't stay with the winner last week, but he could improve in his second start over the track and is the likeliest winner if the choice falters. (1) TOP DESIRE raced well against a huge chalk at Flamboro after breaking early. He isn't without a shot here. (9) MACH POWER comes up tagged for the first time off a bad line; your call.

Race 4

(8) LIKEAVIRGIN steps up off a game uncovered win at Flamboro. He has beaten better in the past. Expect early aggression here. (3) CHOSEN HOMBRE should wake up in this spot as this is a big class drop. (5) PYLATER moves into conditioned claimers which should produce a better result. (1) EVERY DAY also exits a tougher race which makes him a contender.

Race 5

(6) NEWBIE qualified sharply against some classier foes. He should be ready to fire off the bench. (10) KEYSTONE KEEN obliterated a weaker field at Flamboro, but if he can clear before the turn here, he could be gone again. (4) NEXT THING SMOKEN has taken action at the windows in both Woodbine starts and now he drops to the bottom class; using. (1) LEVY TAYLORE can close for a smaller share here.

Race 6

(1) WAVE CRASHER - a winner in only his third start - takes on a few chronic losers here. He looks as good as any in a tough race to figure. (4) IN FOR ALONG HAUL can improve in his second start if he can start quicker. (6) GIULIANA comes off a win vs. cheaper, but there are no world beaters in here. (7) IGOCRAZY WITHOUT U - a 24-time loser - figures to take a slice again.

Race 7

(7) FRONTIER SEELSTER has paced 27-flat third quarters in each of his last two starts. He is razor-sharp and just needs a trip. (6) BROOKLETSJUSTIFIED finished well last week and he should improve coming back in 7 days this time. (9) FANCOURT steps up of an easy maiden win but he isn't likely to get the same soft 1/2 in here. (3) SHARKY SHARK just missed in this class two back then got a rough trip last time. He should be closer leaving from a better post.

Race 8

(9) ALACRITY drops back to the class where he races best; slight nod. (3) CRACKER ZACK could take these down the road if he stays trotting, but that part is hard to predict with him. (2) CHIEVOUS COLE raced well in this class first off the claim; using. (6) FEDERAL has improving form and he isn't out of this.

Race 9

(10) ONE LAST BONO goes for hot connections here off the claim and McNair will no doubt be rolling her early. (8) TIGRA SEELSTER should be heard from here also making her first start off a claim. (7) HONOR ROLL should be competitive while in for a tag. (5) KAYLAS DREAM ships in for a cold barn. I wouldn't take a short price on this one.

Race 10

(2) HUGHGETTHECREDIT paced a huge winning mile last week in this class. He is hard to go past here. (6) MR MATCH ON BEACH steps up off a nice score, but his only hope in here might be to try to land in the choice's pocket at the start. (10) BLUE FOX should improve in his second start over this track, but post probably dooms him to a smaller share. (5) MAX IS BACK can pass horses late, also for a smaller share. (8) CEDAR DUNES makes his first start in a new barn and he could crash the exotics at a price.

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