12/08/2015 1:38PM

Woodbine Harness: Thursday 12/10 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT PICK 5: 1,3,7,9/3,8/1,2,5/1/1,3,5 = $14.40

EARLY PICK 4: 1/1,3,5/1,3,5,6,8/1,3,4,6 = $60

LATE PICK 4: 1,3,4,6/1,3/3,7,8/7,8 = $48

MEET STATS: 137 - 420 / $719.00  BEST BETS: 21 - 38 / $73.20

SPOT PLAYS: 9 - 38 / 105.80

Best Bet: HEY DALI (4th)

Spot Play: GRAND PREMIERE (8th)

Race 1

(3) AMBROSIA SEELSTER is a 1/2 sister to the good local filly Aniston Seelster and prepped well for her debut, showing good late speed. Slight nod to kick off the Pick 5. (1) WISHES FOR YOU fell just short last time after escaping the pocket late and the one that beat her would also stack up well vs. this group. (7) CRACKLIN ROSIE took a ton of action last week but got tired down the lane. She should be sharper with that race under her belt.

Race 2

(3) KILMER ROAD closed fastest and widest in his debut last week at long odds and looks best here vs. some weak opponents. (8) TOY IS OURS is a full brother to two winners from two that have raced and appears to have the speed and talent to go with these if he could only stay flat. (6) WHAT A PEACH raced well enough two back to suggest he can share if he doesn't break stride.

Race 3

(2) WANAKA closed well off excess cover in her debut and looks best here. (1) AMITYVILLE LINDY was one of few closing ground on a runaway winner last time. Expect him to be closer here if he trots the entire mile. (5) FABULOUS HENRI lost all chance at the start last week. If he can produce something close to his winning effort two back at Hoosier he should be right there with these.

Race 4

(1) HEY DALI was a game winner in this class last week and should take control of this race before the half and double up. (6) MYHONEYTELLSALL drops back into a claimer which gives him a good chance in this field. (4) SHIPPEN OUT capitalized on some early battling last time and converted a perfect trip into an upset win. He's more likely to take a minor share here.

Race 5

(5) BAD GAMER paced identical 28 flat quarters in his back 1/2 last week after starting from the 10-hole. This isn't the toughest group and he could strike here 2nd time out. (3) SABINE PASS makes his second start out of the Nixon barn; expect improvement. (1) SHADOWFALL raced okay in his first two starts at Flamboro but will need to knock three or four seconds off here to compete with the top two.

Race 6

(6) BOY MEETS GRILL raced decently twice in a row from the 10-hole now moves to the middle of the gate. I believe he's leaving for position here and could trip out. (5) INCREDABLE FRANK is in decent form and Moreau has been virtually unbeatable lately. Don't leave this one out. (8) TORTOLA SUNRISE showed improvement last week and should be coming up to a top effort soon.

Race 7

(6) ROMANTIC FEVER passed some horses late first time over Woodbine off a three-week break. She could leave better here and notch an upset. (3) CYNDALIANNE DUC continues to race well and matches up well here but her penchant for finishing second is worrisome. (4) B SANTANNAS LOVE goes for hot connections and shouldn't be dismissed lightly.

Race 8

(1) GRAND PREMIERE launched an assault on the leader last time but a 28 flat third 1/4 took some of the wind out of his sails. He looks best here and should be sharper coming back in 7 days. (3) SECRET MISSY was a decent 4th in the same mile now moves inside. She looks like the main danger - if there is one. (5) CALIFORNIA RACHEL got bet off the board and converted vs. maidens. This is a tougher assignment.

Race 9

(7) MIDNIGHT PLAY got hung the route last week and still managed to grab 4th. A better steer and trip gets it done here. (8) IMKEEPNTHISGUY roared up the inside late last week and fell just short. He's in with a shot here but needs a better start. (3) STEVE SAID closed nicely in his first start with catch-driver MacDonald at the controls. He should be a threat here, too.

Race 10

(7) BIG PETES STYLE has been finishing quickly vs. conditioned foes now drops to the bottom claiming class. He should be tough here. (8) REGAL FAME makes a similar drop and will likely show early speed this time. (4) MAN OF MANY ARTS was kept in by Filion last time and closed some ground late in a slowing pace. He will probably get overbet here. (9) ARNOLD DICK made a big move at the top of the stretch last week but was picked off by one that swooped the field. He should make the Super here. (1) ROCK THE DREAM drops and should improve.

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