01/17/2017 4:56PM

Woodbine Harness: Thursday 1/19 Analysis


Race 1 - $40,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

PICK 5: 1,5,6,10/10/1,5,6,8/2,5,7,9/1,3,4 = $38.40

EARLY PICK 4: 2,5,7,9/1,3,4/3,5/1,5,10 = $72

LATE PICK 4: 1,5,10/5,9/3,6,7/7,8,9 = $54

MEET STATS: 75 - 312 / $428.30  BEST BETS: 12 - 29 / $44.70

SPOT PLAYS: 9 - 28 / $44.20

Best Bet: JIMBELINA (2nd)

Spot Play: JUST A THOUGHT (9th)

Race 1

(6) VASCO BI gets his best chance yet to break his maiden, starting from the middle of the gate vs. a weak group; slight nod. (10) ROYAL INTRIGUE is a half-sister to several decent performers. She could surprise if she stays flat this time. (1) ROAD LIGHT figures to be a threat, but he must get out decently from the tricky inside post. (5) IN FOR ALONG HAUL picks up McNair, which has been the best angle at this meet; using.

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Race 2

(10) JIMBELINA got pushed to a very quick 1/2 last week but she stayed game and still almost got the job done. She holds a recency edge on most of the field; top call. (8) STONEBRIDGE PEARL can go better here if she can avoid being first up this time; exacta factor. (2) FRANSCHOEK closed energetically off excess cover last time, but she now has missed five weeks; your call. (1) AMERICAN CURVES is another that figures on paper but also shows a stale date; minor share predicted.

Race 3

(5) XELENE BAYAMA immediately dropped four seconds last May when she shipped from Rideau to Mohawk and switched barns from Filion to Larocque. History could repeat here. (6) SENSELESS BEAUTY was an impressive winner coming off a long break last time; using. (1) TEARFUL OF HAPPY dropped four seconds in four days in her two qualifiers. She is another I think you need on Pick 5 tickets. (8) COLLECTIVE WISDOM was game in defeat last time and she is another that can be dangerous from close range.

Race 4

(9) JIMMYS LITTLE GIRL couldn't close into an accelerating late pace last time. She should find the drop back to maidens more to her liking here. (7) ON THE MINUTE MARK qualified sharply for this. She can take these a long way. (5) BALOO SANDS has been on a roll out of town and her good early speed makes her a threat here. (2) ALEXAS LUCK - a full-sister to Little Brown Jug winner Michaels Power - is worth a look here in her debut.

Race 5

(1) I WANNA BE GEARED should be tough dropping back into a claimer here. Expect an early move this time. (4) VITAL SIGN improved when dropped to this level last time. He could be cycling towards a rare win now. (3) WINDSONG LORD wired similar at Flamboro. He isn't out of this. (10) CHEYENNE FORD will be coming late, but it's hard to say if he will be in position to pass them all as they turn for home.

Race 6

(5) GROUPIE DOLL looks like a solid bet to wire these. (3) SUMMIT CITY TURBO, bought by Zeron for himself since his last start, should be a big player here. (9) ANCASTOR SEELSTER has raced great since being claimed and he could drop several seconds here racing on the big track. (8) DEUCE DEUCE DEUCE will be closing late, as always.

Race 7

(5) BIG CITY JEWEL showed some late interest in his qualifier and now he adds Lasix. This one has some angles going for him in a race that is very tough to figure; slightest of nods. (1) HOUSE OF TERROR debuts for Baillargeon here, and he too showed late interest racing in the same qualifier as the choice; using. (10) WALTZKING HANOVER has a reasonable shot here if he can beat a few off the gate. (2) LEVY TAYLORE should stick around for a slice, at a minimum.

Race 8

(9) TYMAL WIZARD took a new life's mark racing here in this class two starts back. Racing back on the big track can make all the difference for him. (5) GIRL DRAMA is in good form, but she always needs a bit of luck to pass them all. (8) TOP DOLLAR was well back of the choice most recently, but he can close for a smaller share here. (3) CHIEVOUS COLE is one that can threaten from close range if he can stay flat this time.

Race 9

(6) JUST A THOUGHT should hold a major conditioning advantage here while making his third start in 12 days; top call. (3) FIRST CAR couldn't chase down a strong leader while trying first up at Flamboro, but he projects to get a better trip here; using. (7) FUTOMAKI is another that should get a better trip this time and he retains white-hot driver McNair. (8) BETTIM CHRIS ships in and goes for Moreau here, which makes him worthy of inclusion on vertical bets.

Race 10

(8) CASIMIR PARDON ME has been racing well despite spending a lot of time uncovered on the rim. She should be a top contender here. (7) BOOZER BRUISER woke up in a big way in her past two starts. She should string another good effort together. (9) SR BEACH BABE took a new life's mark here two back now she drops back to that same class; beware. (1) MATTJESTIC TEMPO looks ready to produce a decent effort off the shelf. (2) SOBEAUTIFULSOWHAT looks like one that can sit an inside following trip and come on late for a slice.

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