11/23/2016 11:12AM

Woodbine Harness: Thursday 11/24 Analysis


Race 1 - $40,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

PICK 5: 3,4,8/9/2,4,6/1,4,5/3,5,8 = $16.20

EARLY PICK 4: 1,4,5/3,5,8/1,3,9/3 = $27

LATE PICK 4: 3/2,7,10/1,4,7,10/2,3,7 = $36

MEET STATS: 19 - 85 / $120.00  BEST BETS: 4 - 8 / $11.90

SPOT PLAYS: 0 - 8 / $0.00

Best Bet: HOOTER SHOOTER (7th)


Race 1

(3) BADSTORMANYPORT really cranked it up in his November 17th qualifier. He looks ready to produce a good effort vs. a suspect group here. (4) TOY COP's early speed is dangerous as he has been lasting longer on the lead recently. (8) EAS IDEAL gets hammered at the windows every week, but he did show some life late in the mile last time. (9) MR MATCH ON BEACH could wake up here dropping from the Autumn series.

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Race 2

(9) ANDOVERS CHOICE goes from Fontaine to Moreau here, which has been a profitable angle so far at this meet. (1) STORMONT DUNDAS was close to his initial win last time, but was overtaken by the pocket-sitter late. His presence here could provide some value for the choice. (2) MISTER BLUES wouldn't need to improve much on his qualifiers to compete. (5) GOLDEN MAN is a two-time winner facing foes that are winless in more than 100 starts combined. He isn't impossible here.

Race 3

(2) FIVE BELOW goes for the top barn here off a decent qualifier. There isn't much to beat here if Moreau has this gelding close to being right. (6) ENTRANCED's first-over move was repelled by a strong class-dropping winner last time, but that was an improved performance and he should be a player here. (4) AMITYVILLE LINDY should be heard from on the class drop if he stays trotting. (7) CLASS ME NICE could sneak into the tri or super here at a big price.

Race 4

(5) TWO SIDES OF LOVE should go forward off her sharp debut and score here. (1) SUNSET FILLY is the main danger if she stays flat this time. (4) WARAWEE STAR is worth a look on the barn change coming off a break. Notice the sharp final 1/4 in her November 17th qualifier. (2) DORABELLA seems likely to grab a minor share.

Race 5

(3) P H BLACKJACK comes up tagged after one start vs. much tougher since shipping west. He should fit this class and Hudon will likely put him into play early. (5) SUTTON SEELSTER shows a big win two back, the only time he was entered for a tag; using. (8) IMSPORTY will be passing horses late, as is typical for him. (2) NEW STANDARD is another that figures to land on the fringes again.

Race 6

(1) COVERT OPERATIVE closed well last week despite having missed a month's action and now he picks up a catch driver here; top call. (3) LEXUS ROCKY won in a similar class three back then drew the 10-hole twice and went for two non-productive spins of the oval. He is in with a good chance. (9) HUBBY NUMBER ONE raced decently last time chasing a strong winner. He could crack the exotics at a price. (6) ROCKIN WITH DEWEY moves up off a sharp score but she isn't likely to lead unbothered this time.

Race 7

(3) HOOTER SHOOTER paced a big mile on the rim last time. Tonight's the night for his maiden score. (6) ABOUT A BOY showed some late interest in the same race in his debut effort. If he leaves better here, he should be much closer at the wire. (1) SPANIARD can follow along for a minor share. (2) D M REACHER races better on fast tracks and he should get one here.

Race 8

(2) ESCUELA has been getting closer and she looks as good as any in this wide-open low level conditioned trot. (7) CROWN CLASSIC was held up in traffic when making her move last time, which may have cost her a win. She rates highly here. (10) GRANA PADANNO drops in class again and he is obviously one of the best in here but he needs to overcome his post. (3) HLDONTGHTTOYURDREAMS raced better last time, but he was over bet then and could also be over bet here on the perceived 'back class' angle.

Race 9

(7) SHADOW MARGEAUX improved sharply with McNair driving for the first time last week. He sticks here. Expect a more aggressive steer this time. (4) ST LADS LOTTO made a couple of moves from the worst post in an effort that is probably better than it looks on paper; now he moves inside; using. (10) HES A SENSATION takes a massive class drop here, but post 10 isn't good for him if he employs his usual racing style; your call. (1) CS EYE could improve sharply in his second start off a break; consider for Pick 4 tickets.

Race 10

(3) CRANKIN IT UP ships in and goes for Weller, who should have him ready to roll; top call. (2) SCOTTY MACH N figures to improve his chances with a better start from a better post; using. (7) JAC SPADE is racing well as he typically does at this winter meet. It wouldn't be a shock if he passed them all down the lane. (5) CURATOR will be passing horses late for a slice. (10) BEIBER HANOVER re-qualified nicely which may be an indication that Auciello has him fixed up. If he has done so, he should make the ticket.

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