01/11/2017 11:06AM

Woodbine Harness: Thursday 1/12 Analysis


Race 1 - $40,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

PICK 5: 8,9/6,8,9/9/2,3,7,9/2,4 = $9.60

EARLY PICK 4: 2,3,7,9/2,4/1,2,3,5,9/8 = $40

LATE PICK 4: 8/1,3,5/1,2,4/2,5,6,7 = $36

MEET STATS: 70 - 281 / $428.30  BEST BETS: 11 - 26 / $39.10

SPOT PLAYS: 8 - 25 / $38.20

Best Bet: AVA N ELLA (7th)

Spot Play: XELENE BAYAMA (1st)

Race 1

(8) XELENE BAYAMA immediately dropped four seconds last May when she shipped from Rideau to Mohawk and switched barns from Filion to Larocque. This isn't a tough group; top call. (9) FRANSCHOEK roared home but she was simply too far back last time. She looks much improved now; using. (6) JIMMYS LITTLE GIRL couldn't close into an accelerating late pace racing on excess cover. She has a better chance to share here. (4) ON THE MINUTE MARK was also in a bad spot, racing first-up as the pace was quickening; for a slice.

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Race 2

(6) FREE WILLY HANOVER trotted a 55 4/5 back 1/2 to take his third straight last time. He looks solid to extend that streak to four. (9) SUMMIT CITY TURBO has been racing well at Northfield and he is a recent purchase for owner/trainer/driver Zeron. He is worth a long look here. (8) GROUPIE DOLL set solid splits when 2nd to the choice. She should be a speed threat again. (5) DEUCE DEUCE DEUCE should be rallying for a slice here.

Race 3

(9) FINISH LINE ships in after sweeping a claiming stakes series in Ohio and he simply looks fastest here. He should prove tough to beat. (8) PONDAS LEXUS was sharp racing off a layoff on December 22nd. She would improve her chances if she landed in the choice's pocket here. (4) GIRL DRAMA seems to be coming back around for Henriksen now; notice her final 1/4 speed in her most recent start. (5) TOP DOLLAR should be closing for a smaller share here.

Race 4

(2) DUNESIDE SPORT exits several rapid miles. These should be more to his liking; slight nod. (9) FUTOMAKI endured a long trip but kept coming last time. A slightly better trip puts him right there with these. (7) BROOKLETSJUSTIFIED was a sharp winner at Flamboro and holds a recency advantage on some of these; using. (3) LYONS DELIGHT is typically around the money. He should be good for a share here.

Race 5

(2) NIPS BEACH GIRL went a big trip at Flamboro Sunday, only to be overtaken late by the favorite. She should be very tough in here. (4) MATTJESTIC TEMPO signalled readiness with a blowout qualifying win at Flamboro and she is upped one class for her return, which is likely a good sign; using. (1) BOOZER BRUISER has raced well in two straight now. She looks like she has figured things out. (7) SWEETSHADYSHARK has raced great since being claimed and shipping north. She isn't out of the question here.

Race 6

In a race where nothing will surprise me, I'll take a swing with (5) EDL ANGEL, who looks improved and could trip-out racing near the front here. (9) PINGALING is another that looks improved and could pop at a price here. (3) ROAD LIGHT raced better with Cullen at the controls last time and she is another that could do here. (2) IGOCRAZY WITHOUT U should be good for a smaller share here.

Race 7

(8) AVA N ELLA set some big splits in her December 22nd qualifier but she was passed late by a promising colt that parlayed that victory into a win racing for a purse. She stands out here if she can reproduce that mile. (1) I WISH YOU WELL beat easier and she continues to improve her late speed. She looks next best. (10) I DEAL IN KISSES adds Lasix as she moves into Allard's barn. She should share. (4) JUST BLITZED finished just behind the choice last time; consider for exotics.

Race 8

(5) KEYSTONE KEEN stayed game despite enduring a long uncovered trip last time, which was the first time he raced in this class. He could get sent hard this time and that would likely improve his chances. (3) WOGGY ROCKS faces easier here and he should be prominent throughout. (1) IM DRINKIN DOUBLES won for Allard in a similar class at Flamboro in his first start off the claim. He is another to consider for Pick 4 tickets. (6) MONTE CHRISTO can take a smaller share here making his first start off a break.    

Race 9

(2) SENSELESS BEAUTY was a sharp winner in her Woodbine debut and although she faces tougher here, she could be up to it. (1) KAYS SHADOW couldn't quite reach a determined winner last time, but that was her second very good mile in a row, which followed a long string of poor performances; using. (4) COLLECTIVE WISDOM continues to be a threat racing on or near the lead. (3) DOCS SAUSILITO is capable of better and she is likely to show it facing easier here.

Race 10

(2) NO BU was just short after setting solid fractions last time. He could be ready to wire these now. (5) I WANNA BE GEARED typically races well in this class, but notice the 18 slices vs. only four wins last year. (6) LIKEAVIRGIN went a huge trip to win at Flamboro on January 22nd; using. (7) CHEYENNE FORD blew up the tote board last time with McNair driving for the first time. He should be passing many of these late. (8) HIGHPOINT CHIP is worth a look for the bottom of the exotics with the barn change to Auciello.

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