11/15/2016 5:19PM

Woodbine Harness: Thursday 11/17 Analysis


Race 1 - $40,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

PICK 5: 1,6,8/2,6/2,6/5,6,8/1,3,5,8,9 = $36

EARLY PICK 4: 5,6,8/1,3,5,8,9/9/2,10 = $30

LATE PICK 4: 2,10/2,7,8/4/1,2,8,10 = $24

MEET STATS: 10 - 42 / $61.30  BEST BETS: 2 - 4 / $6.00

SPOT PLAYS: 0 - 4 / $0.00

Best Bet: BUGGER BRUISER (9th)

Spot Play: ROYAL CANVAS (5th)

Race 1

(1) MADDYS CREDIT showed some life late in her comeback race. I'll give her another shot here, hoping she is sent for better position off the gate. (6) I WISH YOU WELL qualified sharply and she looks like the one to beat despite facing elders. (8) VOW TO WOW brings some decent form with her from Hoosier and she should be a threat here. (5) COLUMNIST can take a smaller share again while extending her winless record to 0-29.

Race 2

(2) WORK THAT MAGIC faces easier here and she should get an aggressive steer; top call in the opener. (6) MISSEDBYADAY has been pacing some decent final quarters despite being well back. If he is in range at the 3/4 here, he could spring an upset. (5) THE POWER OF MANY had equipment issues that eliminated him early last week. He can share here. (1) CHIC CHICK could sit a good trip here and emerge late with some trot.

Race 3

(2) AVATARTIST gets to drop to the bottom conditioned level here and he could take these all the way following a decent speed try a level higher last time. (6) WOGGY ROCKS typically races well here and he could wake up with a much better effort if he is sent for position at the start. (1) VITAL SIGN should improve with the move inside. (5) MITT JAGGER moves to the middle of the gate and he could be put into play early here by the circuit's hottest driver.

Race 4

(8) ROCKIN RONNIE paced home quickly last time to just miss. He looks best here vs. a suspect group. (6) HOOTER SHOOTER had late pace to offer in a good debut race; using. (5) TOY COP has had many chances, but Henry is likely to send him again which makes him a threat here. (3) HUGHGETTHECREDIT is likely to stick around for a share vs. these.

Race 5

(1) ROYAL CANVAS went a huge trip last time and he retains Henry here and gets a better post; top call. (3) JAC SPADE is rounding into his best form and he will pass them all one of these weeks. (8) CALGARY SEELSTER has a good shot of making front early here which could make him tough to beat. (9) TWIN B SHADOW is one that could finish on the edges at a price here and boost the tri or super payoff.

Race 6

(9) WAY OUTTA HERE trotted by his rivals like that were standing still last time. If he repeats that performance, the rest are racing for 2nd here. (5) P L HERCULES led most of the way vs. the choice last time. If that rival falters, this gelding should be the beneficiary. (3) MUSICAL SPELL can show more early zip here from an improved post and take a share. (10) CLASS ME NICE is one that frequently makes the ticket and he is worth a look at a big price here for the bottom exotic rungs.

Race 7

(2) LADY CRAZY can build off a decent WEG debut and Henry may get more aggressive with her this time. (10) CASIMIR OPERATIVE brings some great form with her shipping in, but she must overcome the worst post. (8) NORTHERN PRIMA is a good one to use on the bottom of the tri based on record and racing style. (5) P L JASMINE is another that will be passing rivals late.

Race 8

(7) SUMMIT CITY NATE is in solid form shipping in and this isn't the toughest field; slight nod. (2) DEWEYKEEPUMNWHY is an obvious threat on the class drop if he stays flat, but that could be a big 'if' the way he has been going lately. (8) MYSTERY BET has turned into a fringe player, but if the pace collapses late, he could pass them all. (4) COVERT OPERATIVE can take a slice here racing from close range.

Race 9

(4) BUGGER BRUISER takes a massive class drop here off a decent effort vs. much better. He should be tough to beat, but he will also be a very short price. (7) UF BETTORS HANOVER should revert to a stalking style here and he can take a big share vs. this group. (1) EVERY DAY raced well in his Woodbine debut and he can share here despite moving out of claimers. (6) FRANKIE BOY raced Monday night and didn't show much. Maybe he will improve her returning quickly if he goes.

Race 10

(1) MR MACH JIMMY drops into a claimer and moves into the top trainer's barn. I'll give him the nod, but he could be overbet here. (8) NOTETOSELF HANOVER fits this class perfectly and his racing style works well on this track; using. (2) LIL RICHIE has been close in this class twice straight and has the looks of one that Waples sends up the rail in deeps stretch; beware. (10) CAROLINA HURRICANE adds Lasix here and he could improve. (6) NEW STANDARD will be passing horses late for a share.

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