10/06/2015 3:15PM

Woodbine Harness: Thursday 10/8 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT (15% Takeout) Pick 5: 7/6,7/3,6,7,9/2,4,7,8/2,3 = $12.80

EARLY PICK 4: 2,4,7,8/2,3/2,7,10/4,9 = $48

LATE PICK 4: 4,9/2,4,8/1,2/2,3,4,8,10 = $60

MEET STATS: 10 - 42 / 59.10  BEST BETS: 1 - 4 / $4.60

SPOT PLAYS: 2 - 4 / 25.10

Best Bet: TOTALLY DREAMY (1st)

Spot Play: VRAKA HANOVER (7th)

Race 1

(7) TOTALLY DREAMY took no prisoners last week while winning at a nice price. Back in the same class he could be odds-on here but will be tough to beat. (3) NEEDLECREST fired early from the 10-hole and paid the price when the choice hung him out. He could do much better here with an expected easier trip. (5) SOAKING UP THE SUN chased the choice home in vain last time in 2nd and needs to find more late to get close to that one.

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Race 2

(6) MYLTTLESTARSHINE was driven aggressively last time and produced an easy win. She gets a good starting slot here and is a good bet to repeat. (7) E L LOVE broke before the start in the Buckette on Jugette day and is obviously highly thought of. She needs to prove it, however. (3) TORTOLA SUNRISE gets post relief here and could share despite missing time.

Race 3

(7) MAJESTIC DIVA made a big first-over move last week but couldn't sustain it late. That improved effort should lead a good result here. (9) ULITTLERIPPER raced decently in his first two then broke on a half-mile oval. She should be a player here back on the big track. (3) SPIRIT SQUAD had late trot to offer last week which hints at better things to come. She's usable on pick 5 tickets here.

Race 4

(7) THIS DAY FORWARD closed ground in an accelerating final 1/4 last time in her best effort to date. She may have found a field she can handle here. (2) NAUGHTY LADY B fired off quick final quarters two and three starts back then broke last time. She has a shot here and should be a square price. (8) LAY LADY LAY showed a bit of improvement 2nd time out and is another with a chance in a wide-open dash.

Race 5

(3) MUSCLES FOR LIFE has really stepped up his game the past month, powering home faster each time. He will have to contend with (2) DEEP IMPACT, who has faced better but the former may be up to it and gets a slight nod here. (9) CHESTNUT SCHOFIELD came up with his best effort to date last out and should be passing many of these late.

Race 6

(2) C L ART MAGIC was an impressive winner in his first start on the circuit and should double up here, albeit at a puny price. (7) ANARCHY HANOVER made his move as the pace was accelerating last time and still did well to be third; in with a chance. (10) GERRIES SPORT wasn't far back in the Grassroots Final and will make his presence felt here - even starting from out there.

Race 7

(4) VRAKA HANOVER gets into this non-winners of two on earnings having already won three times. She should get an aggressive steer here and contend throughout. (9) SPORTS EXPERT is another that has won three times and is best on paper but the post may be enough to get her beat. (Note: 3rd choice COTTONWOOD CREEK was scratched.)

Race 8

(2) LOOKSLIKEACHPNDALE takes a big class plunge here and should take these if right. The break followed by almost a month off are a bit concerning, however. (8) GRANA PADANNO won easily in this class last Thursday here and the outer post is no issue for him. (4) CAULFIELD has been rounding back to his best form recently and isn't without a chance here.

Race 9

(2) DAYLIGHT RUSH has faced better in most of his starts and should handle this group. (1) BLAYDE HANOVER also faced some good ones this summer and should go better here starting from the inside. (10) TWIN B MACHNIVEN is capable of big early speed and could threaten here back facing maidens.

Race 10

(10) PUT YOUR BAD ON won two back first time in a new barn then was a decent third to a sharp winner. She could take this group down the road. (8) SHES LIGHTS OUT was 2nd to a strong winner and finished fast. She should be right there vs. these. (4) DOUBLE OLIVES was in sharp form before breaking last time. She could better this prediction. (3) CAMPS BAY beat maidens last time thanks in part to a very slow third 1/4. These are tougher. (2) MACHMETER exits the Grassroots series and should get a piece of this.

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