10/13/2015 4:02PM

Woodbine Harness: Thursday 10/15 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT (15% Takeout Pick 5): 3/1,3,5,6,7/9/1,2,4,5,8,9/1,5,8,10 = $24

EARLY PICK 4: 1,2,4,5,8,9/1,5,8,10/9/1,7 = $48

LATE PICK 4: 1,6,7,8/4,6,7,8/2/6.7 = $32

MEET STATS: 28 - 86 / 150.20  BEST BETS: 2 - 7 / $6.60

SPOT PLAYS: 3 - 8 / 30.30

Best Bet: C L ART MAGIC (10th)

Spot Play: ON THE ROCKS (12th)

Race 1

(3) BLENHEIM was a good 2nd to a tough winner last time and stands a very good chance of breaking his maiden here. (7) T C SNO MASSIVE left hard then followed for 2nd herself last time. Zeron has been driving her more aggressively and she won't be held off much longer. (1) SOUTHWIND GIZZEL is unbeaten out of town but will need to knock a few seconds off to beat these.

Race 2

(6) SPECIALCELEBRATION has raced well when not in Grassroots races and should be tough in here. (1) MISTY DE VIE showed a bit of life late in her debut and could be a lot closer here. (5) THIS DAY FORWARD has shown better late speed in her past two starts and could break through here.

Race 3

(9) ANDOVERS TOUCH raced big last week and need only repeat that effort to take this. (4) BROADWAY PRINCE closed nicely from the 10-hole last time and fits this class well. (1) ARCTIC TALE made a nice recovery after breaking and could hit the ticket if he stays flat here.

Race 4

(2) NO SERIOUS MATTER gets a slight nod as the best closer in a speed-laden field. (5) DRAFT SEELSTER gets a trainer/driver change to Moiseyev here which makes him one to consider. (8) TOTALLY DREAMY was stung in the first 1/4 last week which contributed to his undoing. He's another contender in a leg that requires deep coverage on multi-race tickets.

Race 5

(8) E L LOVE was closing fastest last week nearing the wire and should be tough in here. (5) ELDORADO OF GOLD S has won for the first two times this year in his most recent two starts. He is a must-use in his current form. (1) IRISH SCOTCH had a rough trip from the 10-hole in the Grassroots final and is another to use on pick 4 tickets here.

Race 6

(9) NOONE TO DEPEND ON raced well from the 10-hole in the Grassroots final and should handle this group. (5) MACH MAGIC was a sharp front-end winner last week vs, similar. Christoforou has been driving very aggressively at this meet so far. (7) MYSTERY writer finished 2nd two back with Filion driving. That pilot returns here; using.

Race 7

(1) DUH BUBBEES tried OSS Gold competition last time with a poor result. He can rebound here vs. easier. (7) GRANA PADANNO had a rough trip last time. He gets his regular driver back here and the two have done very well together. (4) WIN THE DAY also drops back from sires stakes company and should go much better here.

Race 8

(6) MACH MISS was out the route in her debut yet still closed strongly late for 2nd. A slightly better trip gets her to the winners circle here. (1) LINWOOD BEACHGIRL finished fast in both qualifiers and could make an impact in this debut race. (7) BARBARAS SHADOW looks like she figured some things out in her last qualifier; using.

Race 9

(4) STORMONT KATE takes a big class drop here and no doubt will try to wire these. (8) MR LOVER has closed quickly in both Woodbine starts and will be coming quickly late here, too. (7) MEGO MOSS has been racing better and can win this if sent for position early.

Race 10

(2) C L ART MAGIC has remained unbeaten and is getting faster with each start. He'll be hard to beat at a short price here. (3) A MARCOU STORY is as consistent as they come and rarely misses a check. He would be extra dangerous if he could land in the choice's pocket early. (6) SPORTS LIGHTNING is better than he's shown in his past couple and can be much closer at the wire if kept in closer range of the leaders.

Race 11

(6) HAZMATT was thwarted by a slow pace last time. Expect a more aggressive drive here. (7) TWIN B HONOUR comes off a bit of a break and adds Lasix. That angle has worked for trainer Auciello before; beware. (2) ANISTON SEELSTER was given a cagey drive to win last week. That trip is unlikely to be repeated; minor award predicted.

Race 12

(3) ON THE ROCKS has shown marked improvement recently for Hall of Fame trainer McIntosh. Expect Waples to lay closer and move earlier this time. (2) IMKEEPNTHISGUY was a sharp second in his debut on this circuit last week. He should be right there vs. these. (7) NATES BUCKY got out too late last time but still managed a narrow defeat. He should be on the ticket. (1) LATE NIGHT moves inside and should get an easier trip here. (5) SHIPPEN OUT makes his 2nd start off a break, has raced well here before and could hit the ticket at a big price.

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