05/09/2013 2:54PM

Woodbine Harness: Saturday 5/11 Analysis


Race 4 - $75,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (21 - 39 / $72.40): FOOL ME ONCE (11th)     

Spot Play: B LO ZERO (5th)

Race 1

(6) HLDONTGHTTOYURDRMS drops in class after a fourth place finish. He was timed in 1:54 and that should be good enough to win at this level. (1) OUR MOJO also drops in class and draws much better. He doesn't like to win, but is a good option for second. He shows gate-speed and will likely be well positioned. (5) PRINCESS LILLY will make her 2013 debut after a terrific campaign last year with a great record. She qualified well with an impressive :26 3/5 final frame.

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Race 2

(3) BELLE BOYD is clearly the horse to beat in this final. She is undefeated from six starts and has been the overwhelming favourite in each dash. (2) SUPER SOPH tried to get away on BELLE BOYD last week at the three-quarter pole before giving up the lead in deep stretch. She'll likely be aggressively-driven again as she draws inside. (6) MARQUISE DE SARAH raced from off-the-pace last week and that's not her best suit. She'll likely be put into play this week for Hudon.

Race 3

(2) E W FISHER draws inside and drops in class. He won't offer much of a price, but if he doesn't get away too far back, he's a top contender at this level. (5) GUILTYWITHANEXCUSE comes out of the Don Mills Series and into this class. This is an easier field, he comes out of Moreau's barn and he was recently timed in 1:54 2/5. (6) STRUCTURE FIRE did most of the work on the front last start before tiring in deep stretch. If he's not used hard once again, he's very capable of being top three.

Race 4

I'm not sure what kind of price you will get on (4) HARE CRAFT, but he's returned after an injury and qualified very well. He's won at a higher level in the past, he's fresh and draws well. (7) SUNSET ART has finished second in each of his last three starts. He shows gate-speed to be well positioned and has proven to be a top competitor in this class. If (9) THE LADIES MAN is pushed forward off-the-gate, I will like his chances more. He always paces home well, but with the right trip, he's certainly capable, even with a post nine start.

Race 5

(1) B LO ZERO draws inside and has a terrific record this season. He does come out of a claimer and into this class, but he overcame post 10 last week to finish second, beaten only by a head, in 1:50 2/5. (5) STONEBRIDGE ON ICE went to the back last week and wasn't effective. He draws better this week and if he's forwardly-placed, I he'll be more competitive. (7) IDEAL RACE draws better this week and will likely utilize his gate-speed. He has a lot of back-class, comes out of the Gillis barn and at this level he can't be overlooked.

Race 6

(7) ROCKIN WIZARD took no prisoners last week en route to victory. It was a very tight finish and this is a tough race to predict even with a short field. His record this year speaks for itself and he comes with top breeding and from a top barn. (5) URBANITE HANOVER got a ground saving trip last week and paced home very strong. This marks his third start back, he's North America Cup eligible and I think he'll be more aggressively-driven. (6) CLASSIC GENT is very versatile and always puts forth a strong effort. He can't be overlooked, has a terrific record this season and may offer a price.

Race 7

(1) MACH OF BALLYKEEL was hard-used last week past the quarter in a sizzling :25 4/5 and he still managed to finish second. He draws the rail, comes out of the Moreau barn and remains at the same level. He'll likely be the favourite once again. (7) DADDY WARBUCKS doesn't like to win, but has a good on-the-board record this season. He's finished in the top three in five of his last six starts, including his last two starts in this class. (6) ROCK ME PLEASE drops into the bottom condition after a seventh-place finish most recently. He did all the work and was timed in 1:51 4/5 and that should make him very competitive in here.

Race 8

(8) CHINA PEARLS has returned after a layoff due to injury. She has posted two solid qualifiers and is a top caliber mare. This class only helps as she faces fillies and mares only. (4) BAX OF LIFE finished second last week, by a neck, against the boys. This class is better suited and she certainly has enough speed to be a contender. (1) SHEER GLIDE might offer a price in here, but she has terrific gate-speed, draws inside and has proven that she can be very effective against her rivals.

Race 9

(8) UPFRONT HOOSIERBOY did all the work on the front, before finishing second, timed in 1:48 3/5. Any type of repeat effort and it should be good enough to win. This horse has done great things since moving into the Johnson barn. (7) SINGE FOR ME GEORGE likes to race from off-the-pace and was timed in 1:48 4/5 last week in the same race as UPFRONT HOOSIERBOY. The quicker the speed up-front only benefits SING FOR ME GEORGE. (6) ARACACHE HANOVER hasn't won yet this season from two starts, but has hit the board in each start and he's a top contender in this class. He's a millionaire and a top stakes horse for McNair.

Race 10

(6) ODYSSEUS BLUECHIP has won two of his last three since moving into the Johnson barn. He's fresh off a win last week and remains at the same level. I wouldn't expect to see a price. (1) CHEYENNE MOISHE draws inside and has terrific gate-speed. He's also fresh off a win and has a great record this season. (8) DONAU continues to race well in his recent outings. He has improved over the past month and is a contender for the board. He has upset potential and likely will offer a price.

Race 11

(10) FOOL ME ONCE is North America Cup eligible and although he draws post 10, he likely will be the favourite. He has gate-speed, comes from a top barn and can only improve in his second start of the season. (4) D TERMINATA has surfaced once again after a layoff due to injury. He qualified very well and was a top stakes colt at two for McIntosh. (7) GAVINS DESIGNER will have his work cut out for him as this field is deep in talent, but he has a great record this season. He moves out of the claiming ranks and into this class, but comes from a top trainer and shows enough speed.

Race 12

(9) C MAJOR HANOVER drops to the bottom class and was recently timed in 1:51. A repeat effort and I feel he's a winner despite a post nine start. (6) SHADY CAM drew outside last week and wasn't effective. He draws better this week and continues to improve. (10) CHASIN RACIN is considered a longshot from post 10, but he has gate-speed to be well situated. If the fractions are honest and with the correct trip, he has enough speed to get a piece.