04/02/2015 4:54PM

Woodbine Harness: Saturday 4/4 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 11 – Mandatory Jackpot Hi Five Payout


4,5,8/1/2,3,9/2,3,7,9 = $36


4/2,5,7,8,11/2,5,7,8,11/2,5,6,7,8,9,10,11/2,5,6,7,8,9,10,11 = $120

MEET STATS: 118 - 383 / $635.60  BEST BETS: 16 - 37 / $88.00 

SPOT PLAYS: 6 - 36 / $59.20


Spot Play: CAMAES FELLOW (11th)

Race 1

(6) GIVE ME AN AMEN is one that has been on our radar the past couple of weeks showing quick bursts in the final 1/16ths of her miles. She drops to her lowest class yet here and although it looks like a competitive dash she should be right there with these. (4) A REAL COMMITMENT has really stepped it up in the Nixon barn and looks a threat again here. (5) LARJON LAURA won easily and powerfully off the claim and steps up again but should be heard from.

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Race 2

(6) DAYLON MAGICIAN looked briefly like he was spinning his wheels in the stretch last week, but his heart and class kicked in and he got the job done. He should be tighter and even tougher tonight; top call. (3) BURNIN MONEY was coming fast late and fell just short to the choice. He is an obvious threat again. (5) FEARLESS MAN showed the effects of missing 3 weeks action when he faded late. He should last longer here back on the 7-day rotation.

Race 3

(2) PANTHEON HANOVER left hard with others last week, briefly went off-stride, took a tuck then made a bold rush to the front only to be repelled. That was a huge mile all considered and he should be a good price here; top call. (3) DIALAMARA also went a big mile first up and won the fastest division of this series. He is the obvious danger but will offer little value on the win end. (5) LEGION OF BOOM returned from a break and went right down the road to beat the choice. He likely won't get the same breather that he took in the 2nd 1/4 last week.

Race 4

(5) SANTANNA BLUE CHIP has started his 10YO season in excellent form and looks as though he has found a field he can beat here. (4) HIDDEN POTENTIAL went a big first up trip to win a class lower. He can get a big share here, too. (8) FOREVER JUST makes his third start on this circuit and drops in class and moves in a couple of posts. He's a good one to keep on pick 4 tickets at a price.

Race 5

(1) EXTRACURRICULAR stepped up to this class off a big win and came with a big rally that fell just short. He should be tough here starting from the inside. (5) THE ONLY ONE rallied strongly when reverting to a more effective closing style and he should be heard from late here, too. (5) SLIP INTO GLIDE went too fast early and paid the price late. He has been showing some signs of getting back to the form that made him so effective last year.

Race 6

(9) WHOSURPAL was so dominant last week first off the claim for Nixon that he merits this somewhat hefty class raise. (3) MODERN EXHIBIT was also a very good winner pacing away first-over a class lower and should be tough again. (2) LETS ROCK TOGETHER ships in from Pocono for Menary and makes his third start of the season here after showing speed last out. He had an excellent record last year and shouldn't be ignored.

Race 7

(2) MMS LUCKY BOY races much better when starting from inside posts and should offer a square price here; top call. (3) BAX OF LIFE drops out of the Preferred and this group are more her people. (9) WINDSONG GEANT has hit top form and is likely to be good for a while now; using on pick 4 tickets.

Race 8

(6) TEAM CAPTAIN has to be put into the race earlier one of these times, doesn't he? Maybe tonight in a shorter field he shows what he can really do. (3) AMERICAN ROCK raced huge in the lead last week carving big fractions all the way and just failing to last. He is the one to beat. (1) J JS DELIVERY tired very late in the WEGZ series final and was nailed on the wire. He missed the first leg of this series and will looking to make hay here.

Race 9

(1) ALEXAS JACKPOT was stymied by the lack of flow last week but there should be more action in this race and he has really come around the past two starts in this highest class. (5) APPRENTICE HANOVER returns to his home base following two failed tries in the Levy series. These should be more to his liking. (3) NICKLE BAG chased after the speed first-up last week and faltered late. He should be able to get some cover here and nab a share.

Race 10

(2) RAMBLINGAMBLINMAN continues to fire off some of the quickest late speed on the circuit week after week. He should get speed to chase here and some good flow to follow; top call. (1) SPINFINITI is a big threat to double up here from the rail and should be on late pick 4 tickets. (6) GRANDE SEELSTER won easily off the claim but steps into a much tougher class here. A minor award may be his ceiling here.

Race 11

(4) CAMAES FELLOW returns to a 7-day rotation and will be the one making the pace in this mandatory payout Jackpot High-5 event. He is our single on top. (8) COUGAR HALL drops back to a class where he was narrowly beaten two starts back; contender. (5) SUNNY BEACH DAY continues to put good miles together and was beaten only right on the money last week by one he provided cover for. He can get a piece of this. (2) BILBO HANOVER closed rapidly for third vs. two that would make some big noise if they were in here; using. (7) JOSHUA MY BOY is likely to be closest to the choice early and can hang on for a share.

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