03/31/2016 2:16PM

Woodbine Harness: Saturday 4/2 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT PICK 5: 2,5,6/2,3/5,6/5,8/1,3,5,7,8 = $24

EARLY PICK 4: 5,8/1,3,5,7,8/3,4,6,7/1,5 = $80

LATE PICK 4: 1,5/5,7/2,6,7/1,2,7 = $36

MEET STATS: 318 - 1018 / $1669.70  BEST BETS: 52 - 95 / $186.40

SPOT PLAYS: 21 - 95 / $218.00

Best Bet: WIZARD OF OSNEY (3rd)

Spot Play: THE CATAMOUNT KID (4th)

Race 1

(2) AINSLEYNOELLE went a big trip two back but was paced off her feet trying to challenge in wicked fractions last time. She fits here and could strike at a square price. (6) D GS PESQUERO drops and will take lots of action but often hangs late in her miles. She's the one to beat but I wouldn't take a short win price. (5) TRUE REFLECTION gets Filion which is a big angle, but her 2 for 38 record the past two years doesn't inspire great confidence.

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Race 2

(2) NICKLE BAG was in an impossible spot early last week when there were no holes to drop into and he was forced to go the overland route while wicked fractions were being set. That he was only beaten 5 lengths off that trip is somewhat remarkable. He can get back on track here. (3) NIRVANA SEELSTER is the obvious 'now' horse and will have to be chased down here. (4) WAZZUP WAZZUP raced well last week as part of some rapid splits and should share here in his current sharp form.

Race 3

(5) WIZARD OF OSNEY escapes the white-hot Hillsonator here and should be very tough to beat in this field. (6) SHOOT THE THRILL either races great or breaks stride. If he stays flat, he will be the main danger. (4) MUSICAL SPELL couldn't keep up to a sharp winner late last week but could hang in better vs. this group.

Race 4

(5) THE CATAMOUNT KID was visibly gobbling up ground quickly in the final 1/8th of a mile last week in his season debut. There should be a quicker pace to chase here; call to upset. (8) FLAHERTY has got faster every week and is the one to beat but may face a tougher trip here. (7) EASY LOVER HANOVER shoots for six straight wins here but faces tougher opposition; minor award predicted.

Race 5

(3) CHEYENNE REIDER went a huge first up trip in defeat last week. He is back at the top of his game and could score at a decent price here if he finds decent cover. (5) MCKINNEY took a shuffle last week and is more dangerous racing from the pocket, which he may be able to secure early here. (1) MACH PRIDE faces much easier and can't be discounted although the rail may be no bargain here.

Race 6

(7) ELLIS PARK has had two tighteners now faces easier. The short field is a plus for him. It's go time. (3) GRIN FOR MONEY was a sharp winner last week and should be prominent again vs. these. (6) IDOLE DUHARAS will find these tougher but can't be dismissed totally considering how hit he's been.

Race 7

(1) SHIPPEN OUT was sharp in defeat last week but provided perfect cover for the winner and couldn't hold him off late. Those kinds of things have a habit of evening out and he should get his 2nd win of the year racing in this class soon. (5) TIGHTEN UP nailed the choice late and is another that races well in this class; using. (2) CASIMIR OVERDRIVE can follow along and take another share here starting from the inside.

Race 8

(7) REAL KID raced great in his 2016 debut and should move forward with that start under his belt; top call. (5) P H KENNY looks like the only real danger to the choice. Use both on your late Pick 4 tickets. (2) BAD AS CREEK couldn't reach the top two last week but stayed in and lacked room. He is capable of better.

Race 9

(6) MACH CODE had a brutal trip last week and still finished 2nd (although set back to 4th for causing interference). A slightly better journey could get him to the wire first here. (7) RAFA faces easier but has missed some time and has a penchant for coming up short. Your call at short odds. (2) NEWBIE moves into Wallace's barn off some impressive London miles and isn't out of this.

Race 10

(2) SING FOR ME GEORGE got the kinks out last week now faces much easier. He should be tough in here. (7) SHADOW PLACE goes first time for Laroque after shipping in; beware. (1) BIG CITY JEWEL has shown signs of improvement in his last two and has a chance to upset here. (4) COOL ROCK will be closing for a share as he seemingly always does.

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