03/05/2015 4:10PM

Woodbine Harness: Saturday 3/7 Analysis

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Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

EARLY $1 PICK 4:

1,3,8/6,10/3/1,3,6,10 = $24

MEET STATS: 85 - 260 / $458.70  BEST BETS: 11 - 25 / $50.00 

SPOT PLAYS: 5 - 24 / $54.10

Best Bet: URBANA BAYAMA (6th)

Spot Play: AMERICAN GI (4th)

Race 1

(3) THUNDER STEELER has returned to action razor-sharp and although these are much tougher, he may be up to it at a better price. (6) ALEXIE MATTOSIE took plenty of action in his return and came up just short. He can be a big threat here. (4) SPINFINITI was 9 lengths back at the wire last week but that was to 1:50 winner Sparky Mark who competes in the Open tonight. He should be vaulting past most of these late for a share.

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Race 2

(6) ETRUSCAN HANOVER isn't the most reliably gaited horse on the grounds but last week couldn't have been more impressive visually when rolling by the field late while under no urging at all; call to repeat. (7) BOURBON BAY has been perfect since arriving in town in early February and is the obvious one to beat although his final quarters indicate that initial loss may be coming soon. (3) ESCUELA was sitting behind some bad cover last week but kept grinding for a share. He should be thereabouts again here.

Race 3

(3) CAMVICTED will likely be pointed right to the front in the opening leg of this series which is where many of those dashes are won from; top call. (7) DIALAMARA came up just short in the final of the Count B series, beating the choice in the process. He is the main danger. (5) HALTON HURRICANE showed some good late pace in his first start of the year and should improve off that 4th-place effort.

Race 4

(1) AMERICAN GI was too far back on bad cover to make an impact against a very sharp winner last time out. Tonight he gets a much better trip and result from the rail; top call and Spot Play. (8) SMARTER YET closed rapidly in the lane in the same dash and could threaten here at a square price. (3) MCKINNEY has been very conservatively driven from outer posts the past two but moves inside and likely leaves hard here; using.

Race 5

(9) FEARLESS MAN looks invincible right now in the form he is in, even from the 10-hole; top call but will likely be an underlay. (5) ROCKIN WITH DEWEY had a productive 2014 campaign and returned in good form, finishing quickly to finish third to the choice. He stands a chance to upset if he can land in the choice's pocket at the start. (7) BURNIN MONEY got hung the mile last week but had been in great form previously. He can rebound here.

Race 6

(3) URBANA BAYAMA missed a month's racing and returned with a big win showing speed early and late in the mile. He'll be tough to beat here. (2) MAJOR TRICK stayed in and ran into traffic problems when 4th to the choice. He is likely to be closer here and could upset with the right trip. (8) RAMBLINGAMBLINMAN motored up late from far back to nail 2nd in the same dash. He should share again here.

Race 7

The classy mare (6) BAX OF LIFE makes her season's debut and might be able to click right away vs. this group. (1) POWER MOVE was perfect racing out of the Moreau barn, then claimed, now faces better; tough call. (3) HOUSE OF CASH is always around the edges and is a good one to use on the bottoms of tri and super wagers.

Race 8

(2) HOPE FOR PADDY keeps showing signs she is ready to produce a better result. The class drop here should help. Look for Zeron to be on the move much earlier; top call. (7) EAT ME UP continues to race well enough to get shares but rarely wins which is likely to be the case here again. (3) RUB N TUG has really stepped up her game this winter and figures to be prominent throughout once again.

Race 9

(4) SPARKY MARK exploded with a 1:50 mile last week meriting the move up to the top class. The classy veteran is as good as he's ever been it seems which might spell trouble for group. (2) NICKLE BAG has been the king of the castle at Woodbine this winter and is as tough as they come; respect. (8) AVATARTIST was much the best last week but taken down due to a driver error early in the mile. He's on top of his game right now but the 8-hole may be his undoing here.

Race 10

(2) JOSHUA MY BOY had the misfortune of landing in Sparky Mark's race last week but although 8th wasn't beaten that far for a minor share; these are easier. (1) HIT AND GIGGLE A exits the Moreau barn after a nice run and is the one to beat although there is no way he gets gifted a 58 here like he did last week. (3) TOPCORNERTERROR couldn't close into a rapid late pace last week but should be passing many of these late to hit the ticket.

Race 11

(8) INCOGNITO has shown progressive improvement in his last two starts and although he moves up in class and to an outer post he could take these at a price. (1) CURATOR's comeback race was excellent as he was closing hard into an accelerating late pace. He is the danger. (3) GOLDSTAR BADLANDS stayed in and rallied for 2nd behind a very sharp winner. He is likely to keep covered up and come late for a piece again here. (5) KANBEC KINGKAZIMIR made two moves and was only overtaken very late. He should be prominent up near the pace again and stick around for a slice. (9) TOUCH OF LIGHTNING never misses the board in this class and is always a price. Keep him on your tickets!

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