02/28/2013 4:59PM

Woodbine Harness: Saturday 3/2 Analysis

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Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (8 - 21 / $28.80): BURNIN MONEY (1st)        Spot Play: CHASIN RACIN (11th)

Race 1

(5) BURNIN MONEY won at this level last week as the favourite and certainly will get a lot of attention in here. He leaves from the same post and hasn't been worse than second in this class in his last three starts. (3) HOLY HALIBUT has been racing much better in his last three starts. He draws well and I hope his gate-speed comes into play. He likely will provide decent odds once again. (2) INTENSE AMERICA is a playable horse in my opinion. She draws much better than last week and I think she can be better positioned and can make up more ground as they turn for home.

Race 2

(6) NO BU got away eighth last week and was flying at the wire. I can't see that happening once again with Jamieson driving. (5) JJ SHARK raced conservatively last week in his first start back after a well-deserved layoff. I think he'll be more aggressively-driven and can only improve off last week's effort. (1) TWIN B IMPRESSIVE hasn't missed the board in his last three starts and draws inside. He shows enough speed and I think he can be a part of the triactor.

Race 3

If (1) STORMONT LANCELOT behaves himself behind the gate, I think he will have a hard time getting beat. There's no doubt he has enough speed to win and you had to be at Woodbine to truly appreciate his qualifying effort, it was very impressive. (8) PRETEGE SEELSTER has been racing much better in his last pair of starts and enjoys racing from behind. If he's not too far behind, I like his chances. (2) BALLYKEEL MIKE hasn't missed the board in his last four starts. He's a good choice to consider for the triactor.

Race 4

(3) DRAIN DADDY does move up in class, but he scored a very impressive 1:51 3/5 win last week. It was convincing enough for me to believe that he can do it again at a higher level. (4) MC DYNAMITE comes out of the Coleman barn and that alone will gain him some attention. He came first-over last week in this class and battled right to the wire to earn himself a third-place finish. (1) MY MAN CHARLEY drops in class and at this level, I feel he's a very playable horse, especially from post one because he has terrific gate-speed. Puddy's barn has also been very good so far this season.

Race 5

(6) MEGO MOSS is my top pick in here based on the way he performed last week. He was my top selection last start and he came up a neck short, while providing solid value. (7) REAL HOUSEWIFE provided the win last week over MEGO MOSS and it may come down to these two horses battling for the win. Again, I'm looking for value and try to get the likely favourite, REAL HOUSEWIFE, beat. (4) HOUSE OF CASH certainly shows enough trot and has a good record this season. I think he's a very suitable horse for the triactor. Don't overlook the fact that he did jump up and win two starts ago in this class.

Race 6

(3) GRIN FOR MONEY races much better when he's put into the race early and that should happen from a post three start. He's been drawing outside in his last two and drops in class. He was extremely impressive four starts ago.  (6) IDEAL RACE had post 10 last week so I'm going to overlook that raceline.  I'm looking for a better effort than he's been providing lately and has the back-class to do it. (5) MIDNITE ROMP has hard-used to earn the front last week with his :25 4/5 opening quarter and that took its toll on him. With a cleaner trip, he's capable of being top three. He's been racing very competitive in this class.

Race 7

(2) ROCK ON MOE had some time off and showed a very good qualifying mile at Flamboro Downs considering they allowed two seconds. Montini's barn has been very good in recent weeks and I think this horse is capable of winning first start back at this level. (3) TWIN B WARRIOR drops in class and is a much better horse than he's been showing. He also gets Jamieson back behind the bike, which is never a bad thing. (5) LEAFS AND WINGS draws well and is a potential longshot to finish apart of the triactor. He likes to race from off-the-pace and drops in class and I think he still will provide decent value.

Race 8

(8) WAZZUP WAZZUP suffered a long first-over journey last start and was still battling at the wire. He raced very well considering the trip and I think he's a top threat again at this level. (3) ACCEPTABLE RISK got a ground-saving trip last week to finish fourth. He has a lot of back-class and at this bottom level, I feel he's a good play. (6) INGOGNITO certainly is a longshot play, but this bottom class isn't very deep in talent and with the right trip, he's playable.

Race 9

(4) TOP GEAR drops out of the Open class and into a class where he found the winner's circle at four starts ago. He'll likely be the post time favourite and he gets Jamieson back in the bike. If they go quick speed on the front, (7) COOL ROCK is the horse that can pick everybody off late in the mile. He's got a wicked final quarter and a short field only increases his chances. (1) FRANCESCHETTI got beat by a neck last start and draws the rail in here. He also likes to race from of-the-pace and certainly should be considered for the triactor.

Race 10

(6) ST LADS ZOOM ZOOM scored a fairly convincing win last week and once again will gain attention. He enjoys being put into the race and Brewer's barn has been exceptional so far in 2013. (3) TWIN B WRANGLER moves up in class and has won three-straight races. He faces tougher competition, but he draws inside and is a major threat. (4) CHEYENNE MOISHE moves up in class and has won two straight and hasn't missed the board yet in 2013. He's an obvious choice to have for the exactor and triactor.

Race 11

(7) CHASIN RACIN was taken off-the-gate last week by Oliver and I can't see that happening again in his second start back after a layoff. I think he'll be pushed forward and be well positioned in the early going. (6) IN A CRAZE hasn't missed the board since December 13 of last year. I'm not convinced he can win, but is obviously a suitable candidate for the exotic wagers.  (3) ROCK THE WIND is due to win at this level and it hasn't happened yet. He draws well and always tires late in the mile. He'll likely be forwardly-placed off-the-gate and don't overlook him for the triactor.

 

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