03/17/2016 2:30PM

Woodbine Harness: Saturday 3/19 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT PICK 5: 1,2/7,8/3,6/2,3,5,7/2,4,9 = $19.20

EARLY PICK 4: 2,3,5,7/2,4,9/5/3,4,6,7 = $36

LATE PICK 4: 3,4,6,7/5,6,7/2,4/1,5,9 = $72

MEET STATS: 296 - 938 / $1541.60  BEST BETS: 47 - 88 / $168.90

SPOT PLAYS: 21 - 88 / $218.80

Best Bet: WANDA BAYAMA (5th)

Spot Play: ABS TO ENVY (10th)

Race 1

(2) TIGHTEN UP has been facing better in the non-winners of three class and rates highly in this conditioned claimer. Top call in the opener. (1) YOURE MY HERO looks like he was privately sold after breaking early last out. He can rebound here if he stays flat. (4) READ THE PROPOSAL has raced well since returning from a layoff and should hit the board here again.

Race 2

(7) MACHAL JORDAN takes a big drop here which is when he does his best work; notice he won two classes higher on Jan. 30. (8) RISE UP NOW takes another drop and looks like the one to beat but will likely take most of the action at the windows. The choice should offer better value. (6) UF BETTORS HANOVER will be passing many of these late and can hit the board.

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Race 3

(3) SHADES OF BAY was conservatively driven last week but maintained his sharpness by pacing a :26 3/5 final 1/4. He should be blasting off the gate here in the WEGZ final and can win from on or close to the pace. (6) MOHAWK WARRIOR has been razor-sharp in the preliminary legs of the series and is the one to beat at short odds. (4) RAFA has a serious case of seconditis but could take this if he sits a trip instead of doing most of the work as has been typical with him.

Race 4

(2) ERLE DALE N has come closest to currently unbeatable Nickle Bag recently and should enjoy getting away from that rival; on top. (7) CROCADILE CANYON paced a back 1/2 in 54 flat last week to win in a lower class. Respect his sharpness. (3) ELLIS PARK makes his first start of the year in a class where he can win and his trainer usually sends them ready; using.

Race 5

(9) WANDA BAYAMA confirmed her superiority with a life's-best win last week. She need only work out a reasonable trip here to this stakes series final. (4) OUR HOT MAJORETTE is always a threat with her good speed that she can carry a long way. (2) ANISTON SEELSTER lacked room for much of the stretch drive last week and is in with an upset chance here if she can get a better trip.

Race 6

(5) OUR MOJO won in a higher class than this on Feb. 1 and will likely be sent on a speed mission here on the class drop. (1) SHOOT THE THRILL converted despite being out the route last week and looks like the main threat. (8) MUSICAL SPELL has been racing great since returning from a brief break and should get a good trip near the lead here.

Race 7

(4) PROVEN DESIRE steps up off a sharp win but could work out a similarly-good trip at a price here. (3) HOUSE OF TERROR has been on a tear since shipping in at the end of January and looks like a Pick 4 must-use here. (7) DALTON BROMAC N was flying late in a quick mile last week and has to be considered.

Race 8

(7) CHEYENNE REIDER has hit his best stride again and should benefit from the short field here. (6) IDOLE DUHARAS races well every week but had too many in front of him at the 3/4 last week. If he can secure the pocket early he will be a big threat. (5) WOGGY ROCKS, a winner of 4 of his past 5, has never been better and has to be considered.

Race 9

(2) MCKINNEY drops into a spot where he should be prominent throughout. Give him a slight nod over (4) CHAMPAGNE PHIL who is also facing easier and beat better here in January. (5) BLISSFUL YEARS will no doubt be sent for position early and can topple the two above with the right trip.

Race 10

(9) ABS TO ENVY has dropped almost five seconds in three starts since Brealey took over the training duties. She ships in ready to do some damage. (1) MISS COCO LUCK, a drop-and-pop specialist, gets that scenario here and is the one to beat. (5) DIANNA SANTANNA was reeling a loose leader in late last week and should be heard from here, too. (6) SHELLYSSILVERMOON has raced very well the past month and should take a piece of this. (2) WILDCAT MAGIC can leave better from the inside and follow along for a share.

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