03/12/2015 3:40PM

Woodbine Harness: Saturday 3/14 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


4,5/7,8,9/1,7/1,4,5 = $36

MEET STATS: 102 - 301 / $553.40  BEST BETS: 14 - 29 / $82.30

SPOT PLAYS: 6 - 28 / $59.20


Spot Play: BAX OF LIFE (5th)

Race 1

(4) J JS DELIVERY makes his first start for Robinson and will be looking for some quick results in the second leg of this series. Expect a big speed try. (1) DIALAMARA left, yielded, then blew by his opponents again in the lane. He's the one to beat. (7) CONVERSATION BOY closed a big gap late and now gets his regular pilot back. He should be closing for a good share here.

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Race 2

(6) ETRUSCAN HANOVER has looked like a new horse the past two weeks. The new racing strategy obviously agrees with him; top call and Best Bet. (5) CRACKER ZACK wasn't far back of the choice after leaving hard for the lead early. He is the main threat. (2) POWER MOVE was claimed for the second consecutive week but it remains to be seen if he will have the same success he had when he was undefeated in Moreau's barn last month.

Race 3

(4) NIRVANA SEELSTER was a nice third vs. a streaking winner that moves into the Preferred tonight. He should be all systems 'go' here back in NW4. (3) URBANA BAYAMA couldn't chase down a leader on a mission but may get a more favorable pace set up here. (5) TWOMICKEYTRIP dropped and popped in a big way but is unlikely to get the same unchallenged trip tonight.

Race 4

(5) GRANDE SEELSTER debuts in high % trainer Adams barn off some nice wins at Northfield and a sharp qualifier. McNair will have this one blasting and likely lasting. (4) CURATOR has returned to the races in great form and looks much sounder than he did when he was laid up; top contender. (1) FRIDAYNIGHTLIGHT has been racing well out of town and should get a good trip here near the front.

Race 5

(7) BAX OF LIFE was really flying in the last 1/16th of her season debut and should get a more aggressive steer here at a square price; top billing and Spot Play. (9) NORTHERN ESCORT drop backs to a class where he is an obvious contender and likely leaves hard for the lead or position near the front here. (8) JUSTCALLMERONALD got Moreau, Lasix and a win last week. He steps up but can share at a better price.

Race 6

(1) SUMMER CAMP may have been best last week but the pocket sitter got a good jump on him and was gone in the lane. He is playable at a decent price here. (7) ULTIMATE BEACHBOY left fast, sat pocketed through wicked fractions, then charged by late. He's the one to beat. (4) NICKLE BAG stalled first-up in wicked fractions but is still quite capable with a better trip.

Race 7

(1) MR DENNIS has been a different and much more productive horse in Menary's barn. The step up isn't dramatic and he gets major post relief; top call. (4) HIT AND GIGGLE A moves into Moreau's barn off the claim which makes him very dangerous, obviously. (5) COUGAR HALL drops back to a level where he is dangerous; using on pick 4's.

Race 8

(5) SPINFINITI has paced two excellent miles the past two weeks only to come up against monster winners. There isn't any in here that look that scary. He can get the job done here. (1) ALEXAS JACKPOT drops back to the class where he last won and draws inside. He looks the main danger. (8) MUSSELSFRMBRUSSELS has got enough money off his card the last three weeks to take a class plunge from the Preferred. He is a top contender but is also likely to be overbet here on the drop.

Race 9

(2) BURNIN MONEY shows two wins in a row at the bottom of his chart then three beats to white-hot Fearless Man whom he escapes here. Seems simple enough; top call. (1) ROCKIN WITH DEWEY also drops out of the same races and looks primed for a top effort; the main danger. Same deal for (5) WATKINS who is more than capable of threatening and likely driven more aggressively by Filion here.

Race 10

(4) MACHNBYRD PRINCESS had speed both early and late when winning for trainer Robinson with his first starter in several years. She can double up here with similar tactics. (7) REGALLY READY has gone two big trips since exiting the Ontario Girls series and was unlucky not to win one. She can threaten again and win here with the right trip. (1) MISS COCO LUCK will get out much better from an inside post and should get a good share. Keep on deeper pick 4 tickets.

Race 11

(2) CHAMPAGNE PHIL closed a big gap after trailing early from an outer post. The move inside gives him a much better chance at a forward placing and he's beaten better; top call. (6) JOSHUA MY BOY cut some big fractions and understandably tired late. He can be much closer with a more patient drive. (7) AMBLE OVER HANOVER races best for Jamieson who he picks back up here. He should be live at a good price. (9) MONTE CHRISTO is horribly win-shy but a great bet for the bottom of exotics tickets typically. (8) FUTURE MILLION has raced much better the past two and can get a small share here, too.

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