03/10/2016 3:54PM

Woodbine Harness: Saturday 3/12 Analysis

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Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT PICK 5: 2,3,4/2,5,6/6/1,4,8/1,2,3,5 = $21.60

EARLY PICK 4: 1,4,8/1,2,3,5/1.2.8/1 = $36

LATE PICK 4: 1/4,5,6/1,2,4/3,4,7 = $27

MEET STATS: 288 - 898 / $1494.90  BEST BETS: 46 - 83 / $162.90

SPOT PLAYS: 20 - 84 / $208.00

Best Bet: REGALLY READY (7th)

Spot Play: DONTBRUISECARRIE (5th)

Race 1

(4) SHADES OF BAY made a sustained move to the front last week when he came under immediate pressure and held on okay, considering. In this short field he could get a much better trip on or near the lead. (2) MOHAWK WARRIOR rode perfect cover to victory last week and he hasn't missed the board all year so far. He can win from a variety of trips and is ever dangerous. (3) RAFA put in a big first-over bid last week but he continues to appear headstrong often during his miles. He is capable but needs to relax more during his miles.

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Race 2

(2) ADVERSITY drops to a level where he should be prominent and Filion will likely give him a more aggressive steer here; top call. (6) POWER MOVE also takes a class plunge and he was a good 2nd when last in this class. (5) PRETTY BOY continues to race well for Johnson and isn't out of this.

Race 3

(6) NICKLE BAG didn't race last week only because there was no Preferred class. He shoots for 6 straight here and will be tough to beat again. (5) EVENIN OF PLEASURE is a new face on the scene making his first start of 2016. He has the class and speed to contend immediately. (3) MACH PRIDE has really stepped up his game the past two starts and is one to consider for the exotics at what should be a good price.

Race 4

(1) RISE UP NOW missed a check last week which enables him to face his easiest company yet here. I would think he will leave much better this time and start his move earlier. (8) PROVEN DESIRE showed good speed both early and late last week and he is one of few that appear to want to leave here which should make him a dangerous rival. (4) COOL ROCK continues to close well from far back and likely takes another minor share here.

Race 5

(1) DONTBRUISECARRIE had plenty of pace to offer last week but was on dead cover when the two that beat her were slipping off the pylons after enjoying much better trips. She can take this at a square price. (2) SPORTS EXPERT beat easier in her season debut but the early and late speed she displayed there makes her a contender vs. these. (3) POPGOESTHEWEASEL was motoring late last week but was also covered up on the inside the entire way saving energy for that one late burst. She could be overbet off that mile.

Race 6

(8) JUSTCALLMERONALD has won vs. this type of company from an outer post before and Auciello may have his issues straightened out based on the March 3rd qualifier; slight nod. (2) LADY DYNAMITE made two moves last time in a decent effort. She should be prominent throughout here. (1) O NARUTAC PERFETTO is hit-and-miss as to whether he will stay trotting or not but if he does, he should be right there at the wire. Take a look at him in the post parade.

Race 7

(1) REGALLY READY jogged when last in this class and should be a tough customer here. (3) AINSLEYNOELLE was a gritty winner vs. easier last week and has to be considered off that mile. (5) D GS PESQUERO kept coming late but couldn't get by the one above at the wire. She seems more likely for a minor award here.

Race 8

(4) MACHAL JORDAN has been too far back in his last two starts. With this shorter field, he is likely to be closer earlier and could register a minor upset. (5) VELOCITY DRIVEN is another that was too far back but was roaring up late and fell a couple of strides late. The short field should help him, too. (6) AVATARTIST put big fractions up then held on despite getting very tired nearing the wire. He is a threat again, especially if he can steal another second 1/4 breather.

Race 9

(1) ULTIMATE BEACHBOY got free too late last week. He is one of the best in here and should get a more aggressive steer from Jamieson here. (2) IDOLE DUHARAS is as sharp as they come and should enjoy another good following trip here. (4) WAZZUP WAZZUP is a big threat at this level; include him in your late Pick 4 tickets.

Race 10

(3) AKOYA should last much longer here dropping into a conditioned claimer and might be a nice price. (7) YOURE ME HERO blew away lesser last week and will likely be heavily bet despite the step up. (4) BIEBER HANOVER faced much better recently and has a big shot vs. these. (6) READ THE PROPOSAL is a good one for the bottom of tris, supers and High-5's. (5) SHIPPEN OUT is another that is most likely to finish 4th or 5th.

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