02/27/2014 3:55PM

Woodbine Harness: Saturday 3/1 Analysis

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Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet: APPRENTICE HANOVER (2nd)

Spot Play: DONAU (6th)

Race 1

(1) BILBO HANOVER was flying at the end last week. He gets post relief and should be closer to the pace. (4) AVATARTIST did most of the work last week en route to victory. He'll look for the same tactics. (2) KEEPING OPTOMISTIC comes out of the Johnson barn, draws well and has hit the board in four of his last five.

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Race 2

(5) APPRENTICE HANOVER is clearly the horse to beat. He needs no introduction. (2) WAZZUP WAZZUP closed well to finish second last week. He continues to impress. (3) MYSTICIAN has nearly $1.9 million of back class to him. He comes from a top barn and draws inside.

Race 3

(4) ANOTHER AMARETTO made a miscue last week at a higher class in the debut for trainer Johnson. He's at a lower level and worth another look. (6) LEXUS HELIOS trotted home strongly last week to finish second. Getting McNair back in the bike is key. (3) ZUKAV draws inside and did all the work last week before tiring. He'll need a helmet to follow.

Race 4

(2) CLASSIC GENT draws inside, gets Waples and has been terrific in recent outings. (4) COOL ROCK draws inside and has a terrific late kick. If he's within striking range, I like his chances. (5) THORN IN YOUR SIDE has the speed for this class and has been knocking on the door. He's versatile and may offer a price.

Race 5

(5) NORTHERN SPARK put in a sub-par effort last in the debut of trainer Johnson. He drops in class, draws well and is a key threat. (2) STRIKING LINDSEY gets major post relief and has a lot of back class. (1) OAKLEA SYDNEY gets the rail and trotted a strong mile last week. She'll need a trip, but has the speed for this bottom level.

Race 6

(1) DONAU draws the rail and certainly has the speed for this class. He'll need a trip and should offer a price. (3) MIDNITE ROMP has back class to him and finally draws inside. He closed well last week and hopefully gets a better trip. (5) LENNON BLUE CHIP has been racing consistently, but will need to step up his game even more.

Race 7

(7) MONTE CRISTO drops in class, gets Drury in the bike and finished third at a higher level last week. (3) BROCKS FORTUNE draws well and was timed in 1:52 last start. That type of effort should be quick enough to win. (4) MACHAL JORDAN gets needed post relief and closed well to finish third last week from post 10. His price should lower this week.

Race 8

(3) ORDER BY COMMANDER draws inside and has proven to be a top threat at this level. Hopefully he receives a cleaner trip than last week. (8) STRATEGY finished second last week at this class, comes out of Johnson's barn and proves to be very competitive. (10) FLIGHT OF THE KIWI will have to overcome post 10, but if he can he's a top candidate in here. He has the speed and will need to be pushed off the gate.

Race 9

(7) GENESEE has won two straight and had a lot of pace in last week's effort. He's on his game right now and will likely be the favourite. (8) BLENDED WHISKEY hasn't missed the board yet this season, is versatile and should offer another top effort. (2) DAPPER DENZIL jumped up in class last week and responded well. He draws inside once again and has been racing at his best.

Race 10

(6) CHAMPAGNE PHIL was terrific in last week’s win. He jumps in class, but should be able to handle the transition. (2) TWIN B IMPRESSIVE might offer a price and I'm going to try him. He's coming off a layoff with a pair of qualifiers, but raced very well last season at a higher level. (9) ROETHBLISSBERGER has been knocking on the door in recent weeks and races much better when he's put in the race. He comes out of the Puddy barn, which isn't a bad thing this season.

Race 11

(8) J C ONTHEBEACH probably has the most speed in this field, but will need to be well positioned early from post nine. (1) HES A SENSATION gets the rail after going a tough trip last start. He might offer a fair price and should be much closer to the pace this week. (3) HOPIESDRAGNINTHEDO draws inside, comes out of the Auciello barn and has paced home quicker than :28 in each of his last three starts.

 

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