02/26/2015 5:36PM

Woodbine Harness: Saturday 2/28 Analysis

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Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

EARLY $1 PICK 4:

2,4/2,5,10/5/2,4,8 = $18

MEET STATS: 74 - 220 / $406.40  BEST BETS: 10 - 21 / $43.10 

SPOT PLAYS: 5 - 20 / $54.10

Best Bet: POWER MOVE (6th)

Spot Play: PAPER BACKED LINDY (2nd)

Race 1

(6) HIT AND GIGGLE A was really put to the test early in the mile and used hard twice in the first 3/4 of the mile yet week and still bravely prevailed. Off that effort he gets the call to extend his win streak to three. (8) I SCOOT SAM was coming fast with his typical late charge but ran out of racetrack. He is obviously capable but is a victim of flow and in many cases ground loss. (1) JAC SPADE has done well in the lowest conditioned class recently and can close late here for a share in this claimer.

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Race 2

(5) PAPER BACKED LINDY, 4 for 7 on the year, will likely offer a decent price here vs. those that raced in the Preferred last week and is worth a stab in his current sharp form. (8) FEARLESS MAN is a bit of a head scratcher in that some weeks he looks like Mack Lobell and others, not so much. He will take big action here off his blowout Preferred win last week but is certainly not unbeatable. (6) BURNIN MONEY has been super sharp the entire month and is a contender here again.

Race 3

Two horses from our personal 'watch list' meet here and while it's a tough call we'll give the edge to (2) THUNDER STEELER who was tearing up the track late in his comeback race and just ran out of real estate. Look for McNair to roll this one early here. (5) AMERICAN GI couldn't get to impressive winner Sparky Mark in this class last week but was a clear second off a tough trip. He could reverse this prediction as he is in top form now. (1) GOLDSTAR BADLANDS raced Monday night and closed well for 2nd a class lower. He can make some impact late here, too.

Race 4

(4) ROCK N ROLL XAMPLE was ready first time out this year but was narrowly beaten by a very sharp winner. She should be tough in here with that outing under her belt. (2) BOAT HOUSE ROW exits the same heat and wasn't that far behind the choice at the wire.  She fits well here but needs to lay closer early. (7) EAT ME UP drops back to the level where she is most competitive but is one that is more apt to get a slice than a win most nights.

Race 5

(4) SPARKY MARK jumps in class off his impressive win last week but if he can duplicate that effort he will take some beating. (3) WAZZUP WAZZUP led to the very last steps of the mile last week and is a good bet to sit the choice's pocket here and try to get by late. (10) FRANKIES DRAGON drops out of the top class but beating this group from the 10-hole is no easy feat.

Race 6

(5) POWER MOVE impressively charged down the centre of the track to nail a sharp leader late. He is unbeaten since joining the Moreau barn and likely keeps the roll going here. (10) LIMITLESS was only 4 lengths back of the choice after parking the mile and passing 6 foes in the back half. He can get a good share here at a price. (4) OUR MOJO tried the impressive Exemplar first up and was easily repelled. He could have some better luck here vs. this easier group.

Race 7

(8) ULTIMATE BEACHBOY faced big time heat on the lead the entire mile last week yet somehow managed to still fight them all off en route to a win first time over Woodbine. Call to repeat off that impressive effort. (4) NICKLE BAG looked golden but hung in the lane. Several tough trips in a row may be catching up to him now. (2) APPRENTICE HANOVER comes in fresh, looks ready to go and won the majority of his races last year in winter. He could better this placing first time out.

Race 8

(9) MR DENNIS made every pole a winning one first time in Menary's barn. He might be able to step up in class and beat these. (1) THEPANISULAHOTEL has looked pretty sharp in recent weeks and gets some class relief here which may be all he needs at this point; beware. (8) TOUCH OF LIGHTNING also drops to a level where he has been very competitive and is sure to be leaving hard at the outset.

Race 9

(8) A BOY NAMED SUUZZ gets to face NW 3 lifetime getting into the race under the earnings limit. He has been sharp all winter and stands a good chance here as long as he is put into the race early. (7) RAMBLINGAMBLINMAN exits stakes series and is in a similar situation as the choice. He is the main danger. (6) ARRIVED LATE was beaten narrowly by the choice on Feb. 7th but has now missed three weeks of action; mixed signals.

Race 10

(4) RESISTANCE FUTILE gets some class relief here after finishing close up vs. better. He will be a major player here. (9) MONTREAL PHIL exits the same race and was less than a length behind the choice at the wire. He could turn the tables if he is out in a good flow on the backside. (3) IDEAL JET was getting good at the end of the Ontario Boys series and should get a decent share here. (7) SUNNY BEACH DAY takes a class drop and will be coming late from far back for a minor share. (5) MACHAL JORDAN is an in-and-outer but figures to get a check from the rail here.

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